Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
2/7 Game 1
Okada Sayaka finished 1st (+75.0pt). The game was decided in South 4: Okada Sayaka ron 18,000 from Hagiwara Masato, which moved Okada Sayaka's expected points by +52.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 2,000 | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -4.8 | -1.8 | +0.1 | +6.6 |
| East 2 | Okada Sayaka ron 2,600 from Asakura Koshin | 21% | 24% | 25% | 31% | -8.6 | 0.0 | -0.8 | +9.4 |
| East 3 | Hagiwara Masato ron 2,000 from Asakura Koshin | 16% | 22% | 24% | 38% | -6.3 | +5.8 | -1.5 | +2.0 |
| East 4 | Draw | 13% | 25% | 22% | 40% | -2.3 | -3.0 | -3.2 | +8.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 2,600 from Okada Sayaka | 12% | 22% | 18% | 48% | +0.2 | +11.1 | -0.5 | -10.8 |
| South 1 | Draw | 12% | 33% | 18% | 36% | +2.8 | -4.5 | +5.5 | -3.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Asakura Koshin ron 12,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 14% | 29% | 23% | 35% | +37.4 | -3.2 | -33.3 | -0.9 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000 | 37% | 24% | 7% | 32% | -13.2 | -4.4 | +24.1 | -6.6 |
| South 2 | Asakura Koshin ron 5,200 from Hagiwara Masato | 29% | 24% | 19% | 29% | +24.9 | -23.3 | -0.9 | -0.7 |
| South 3 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 12,000 from Okada Sayaka | 55% | 7% | 15% | 22% | -6.2 | +1.5 | +42.8 | -38.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 7,700 from Okada Sayaka | 40% | 4% | 50% | 6% | -8.8 | +2.0 | +22.5 | -15.7 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 5,200 from Asakura Koshin | 17% | 2% | 79% | 1% | -13.2 | -0.4 | +5.6 | +8.0 |
| South 4 | Okada Sayaka ron 18,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 4% | 0% | 94% | 2% | -9.6 | -37.8 | -4.8 | +52.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 5,800 from Hagiwara Masato | 3% | 0% | 84% | 13% | -3.6 | -5.8 | -2.0 | +11.4 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Okada Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 0% | 79% | 20% | -6.3 | -4.6 | -33.8 | +44.7 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Okada Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 6% | 94% | -4.8 | -4.0 | -6.1 | +14.9 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Asakura Koshin tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +32.9 | -3.2 | -22.5 | -7.2 |