Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
2/7 Game 2
Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+87.5pt). The game was decided in East 4: Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +27.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 26% | 24% | 25% | -4.8 | +4.6 | +2.3 | -2.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 22% | 29% | 26% | 24% | -22.4 | -1.5 | -0.4 | +24.3 |
| East 3 | Kurosawa Saki ron 5,200 from Sawazaki Makoto | 9% | 25% | 24% | 41% | +1.0 | -0.9 | -16.5 | +16.4 |
| East 4 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000 | 9% | 20% | 12% | 59% | -7.7 | -9.6 | -9.8 | +27.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 3% | 9% | 3% | 85% | +4.5 | -2.6 | -2.8 | +1.0 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go | 4% | 7% | 2% | 87% | +19.6 | -20.8 | +1.6 | -0.3 |
| South 1 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 2,000 from Kobayashi Go | 6% | 2% | 3% | 89% | +7.6 | -5.6 | -1.5 | -0.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,000 | 8% | 2% | 3% | 87% | -8.8 | -2.3 | -1.8 | +12.9 |
| South 2 | Kobayashi Go ron 12,000 from Sawazaki Makoto | 0% | 1% | 1% | 98% | -1.6 | +29.2 | -27.1 | -0.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Win | 0% | 2% | 0% | 97% | -1.0 | -6.9 | -2.3 | +10.2 |
| South 3 | Sawazaki Makoto ron 12,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -29.4 | +4.6 | +25.2 | -0.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +35.8 | -11.2 | -21.9 | -2.7 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -2.8 | -0.2 | +1.8 | +1.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +5.3 | -5.1 | -0.6 | +0.3 |