Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
2/7 Game 2
Saki Kurosawa finished 1st (+87.5pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Saki Kurosawa ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa, which moved Saki Kurosawa's expected points by +24.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Makoto Sawazaki 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Makoto Sawazaki Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 28% | 25% | 24% | 23% | -7.2 | +3.3 | +3.3 | +0.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 22% | 28% | 26% | 24% | -22.0 | -1.6 | -1.2 | +24.9 |
| East 3 | Saki Kurosawa ron 5,200 from Makoto Sawazaki | 10% | 23% | 24% | 43% | -1.8 | -0.8 | -16.5 | +19.0 |
| East 4 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 12,000 | 7% | 19% | 11% | 62% | -5.2 | -7.3 | -10.8 | +23.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 9% | 4% | 85% | +3.9 | -2.9 | -2.1 | +1.1 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi | 4% | 7% | 4% | 85% | +21.5 | -20.9 | -1.0 | +0.4 |
| South 1 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 2,000 from Go Kobayashi | 5% | 3% | 3% | 89% | +5.3 | -6.4 | +0.4 | +0.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 8,000 | 7% | 2% | 3% | 89% | -8.2 | -1.9 | -1.5 | +11.6 |
| South 2 | Go Kobayashi ron 12,000 from Makoto Sawazaki | 0% | 1% | 1% | 98% | -1.9 | +29.0 | -27.9 | +0.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Win | 1% | 2% | 0% | 97% | -0.1 | -6.7 | -2.7 | +9.4 |
| South 3 | Makoto Sawazaki ron 12,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -30.0 | +4.7 | +25.8 | -0.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +36.0 | -12.1 | -21.3 | -2.6 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -2.1 | -0.9 | +2.0 | +1.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +4.4 | -4.0 | -0.8 | +0.3 |