Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
2/10 Game 1
Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+49.6pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 8,000, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +15.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Makoto Sawazaki 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Makoto Sawazaki Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 1,100 | 27% | 25% | 25% | 23% | -9.7 | 0.0 | +6.3 | +3.4 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 20% | 24% | 30% | 26% | -1.7 | +7.4 | -2.7 | -3.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido ron 3,900 from Hisato Sasaki | 18% | 29% | 28% | 25% | +1.6 | -17.6 | -0.7 | +16.7 |
| East 3 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 3,000 | 19% | 17% | 27% | 37% | -3.0 | -2.7 | +9.1 | -3.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 17% | 15% | 33% | 35% | -4.3 | +2.9 | +3.3 | -1.9 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 2,100 | 15% | 17% | 36% | 32% | -2.5 | -2.4 | +10.1 | -5.2 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Makoto Sawazaki ron 3,200 from Takaharu Ooi | 14% | 15% | 45% | 27% | +13.0 | -0.7 | -12.4 | +0.2 |
| East 4 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 1,100 | 22% | 16% | 34% | 28% | -6.1 | +6.8 | +1.0 | -1.7 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 18% | 19% | 36% | 27% | -4.6 | +8.3 | -1.7 | -2.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 2,000 | 14% | 25% | 35% | 26% | -4.2 | -7.1 | +14.7 | -3.4 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 12% | 15% | 51% | 22% | -5.8 | -6.0 | +4.8 | +6.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 1,300 from Makoto Sawazaki | 8% | 12% | 56% | 24% | -10.9 | +4.8 | +8.1 | -1.9 |
| South 4 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 3,000 | 2% | 8% | 73% | 17% | -2.6 | -7.6 | -6.4 | +16.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 7% | 61% | 30% | +43.7 | -24.1 | +15.7 | -35.4 |