Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
2/10 Game 1
Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+49.6pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 8,000, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +15.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 1,100 | 26% | 25% | 25% | 24% | -8.0 | -0.3 | +7.1 | +1.2 |
| East 2 | Draw | 20% | 26% | 30% | 25% | -0.5 | +6.2 | -3.3 | -2.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 3,900 from Sasaki Hisato | 19% | 30% | 27% | 24% | -0.2 | -18.1 | +2.0 | +16.2 |
| East 3 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 3,000 | 19% | 17% | 28% | 36% | -2.4 | -2.0 | +6.4 | -2.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 18% | 16% | 32% | 34% | -3.5 | +0.4 | +6.6 | -3.5 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 2,100 | 16% | 15% | 38% | 31% | -2.8 | -1.8 | +7.8 | -3.2 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Sawazaki Makoto ron 3,200 from Ooi Takaharu | 13% | 15% | 45% | 27% | +12.7 | -0.2 | -13.1 | +0.5 |
| East 4 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 1,100 | 21% | 15% | 35% | 29% | -4.7 | +6.0 | +1.7 | -3.0 |
| South 1 | Draw | 20% | 18% | 36% | 26% | -6.9 | +8.7 | -0.5 | -1.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 2,000 | 15% | 24% | 36% | 26% | -4.6 | -5.1 | +12.0 | -2.3 |
| South 3 | Draw | 10% | 18% | 49% | 23% | -5.4 | -7.7 | +7.4 | +5.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 1,300 from Sawazaki Makoto | 7% | 11% | 58% | 23% | -10.8 | +6.4 | +5.7 | -1.3 |
| South 4 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 3,000 | 2% | 9% | 72% | 17% | -1.5 | -8.1 | -5.3 | +14.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 8% | 61% | 29% | +43.1 | -24.7 | +15.5 | -33.8 |