Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2019-20 Regular Season

2/11 Game 1

Murakami Jun finished 1st (+66.6pt). The game was decided in South 3: Murakami Jun tsumo 12,000, which moved Murakami Jun's expected points by +39.7.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 2End● Murakami Jun● Kurosawa Saki● Uotani Yuumi● Kobayashi Go0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Murakami● Kurosawa● Uotani● Kobayashi
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultKurosawa Saki
1st-place chance
Uotani Yuumi
1st-place chance
Kobayashi Go
1st-place chance
Murakami Jun
1st-place chance
Kurosawa Saki
Expected pt change
Uotani Yuumi
Expected pt change
Kobayashi Go
Expected pt change
Murakami Jun
Expected pt change
East 1Uotani Yuumi ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki26%24%24%26%-25.1+26.8+0.2-1.9
East 2Draw10%45%21%23%-0.9-6.9+5.4+2.4
East 3, 1 honbaKobayashi Go tsumo 3,90011%38%27%24%-2.8-4.2+11.5-4.6
East 3, 2 honbaMurakami Jun ron 2,600 from Kobayashi Go9%33%36%21%-4.4+2.1-11.0+13.3
East 4Draw8%36%27%29%-1.4+2.1+4.8-5.6
South 1, 1 honbaKobayashi Go ron 3,200 from Murakami Jun7%38%30%25%-8.0+2.6+16.4-11.1
South 2Uotani Yuumi ron 12,000 from Kobayashi Go2%37%44%16%+2.3+33.8-38.1+2.1
South 2, 1 honbaMurakami Jun ron 12,000 from Kurosawa Saki1%81%7%11%-21.0-4.6-1.8+27.3
South 3Murakami Jun tsumo 12,0000%71%5%24%-3.1-24.9-11.7+39.7
South 4Kobayashi Go ron 1,000 from Murakami Jun0%14%0%86%-0.1-5.2+1.6+3.7

All 2019-20 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)