Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
2/11 Game 1
Jun Murakami finished 1st (+66.6pt). The game was decided in South 3: Jun Murakami tsumo 12,000, which moved Jun Murakami's expected points by +39.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Jun Murakami Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 25% | 26% | 25% | 24% | -22.7 | +22.6 | +1.6 | -1.6 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 11% | 42% | 25% | 23% | -2.3 | -5.3 | +3.0 | +4.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 3,900 | 11% | 37% | 27% | 25% | -4.1 | -2.9 | +9.5 | -2.6 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Jun Murakami ron 2,600 from Go Kobayashi | 9% | 34% | 34% | 23% | -1.7 | +0.4 | -10.9 | +12.2 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 9% | 34% | 25% | 33% | -5.5 | +4.3 | +6.5 | -5.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 3,200 from Jun Murakami | 7% | 38% | 29% | 27% | -5.3 | +0.7 | +17.5 | -12.8 |
| South 2 | Yuumi Uotani ron 12,000 from Go Kobayashi | 3% | 36% | 46% | 16% | +2.0 | +36.1 | -38.4 | +0.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Jun Murakami ron 12,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 1% | 82% | 8% | 9% | -20.4 | -6.3 | -3.0 | +29.7 |
| South 3 | Jun Murakami tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 70% | 6% | 25% | -3.3 | -24.3 | -11.6 | +39.2 |
| South 4 | Go Kobayashi ron 1,000 from Jun Murakami | 0% | 14% | 0% | 86% | -0.2 | -5.0 | +1.8 | +3.5 |