Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
2/11 Game 2
Wakutsu Akira finished 1st (+54.5pt). The game was decided in South 4: Wakutsu Akira tsumo 3,200, which moved Wakutsu Akira's expected points by +32.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Wakutsu Akira 1st-place chance | Maruyama Kanako 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Wakutsu Akira Expected pt change | Maruyama Kanako Expected pt change | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 1,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -7.2 | +1.1 | +0.7 | +5.5 |
| East 2 | Wakutsu Akira tsumo 3,900 | 20% | 26% | 25% | 28% | -4.6 | +9.9 | -3.6 | -1.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Wakutsu Akira ron 3,900 from Maruyama Kanako | 16% | 33% | 23% | 28% | +2.6 | +13.8 | -14.1 | -2.3 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Draw | 18% | 43% | 14% | 25% | +0.7 | -2.1 | +1.9 | -0.4 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 4,000 | 17% | 41% | 16% | 25% | +21.8 | -4.7 | -10.3 | -6.8 |
| East 4 | Draw | 33% | 36% | 10% | 20% | -1.4 | +2.8 | -0.3 | -1.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 32% | 40% | 10% | 19% | -3.2 | +8.4 | -2.4 | -2.7 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Maruyama Kanako ron 3,900 from Hagiwara Masato | 27% | 49% | 9% | 15% | -18.8 | +2.7 | +16.7 | -0.6 |
| South 3 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 8,000 | 12% | 57% | 15% | 16% | +42.0 | -9.0 | -24.4 | -8.7 |
| South 4 | Wakutsu Akira tsumo 3,200 | 55% | 35% | 1% | 9% | -21.3 | +32.1 | -7.7 | -3.0 |