Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
2/13 Game 1
Sho Shiratori finished 1st (+60.4pt). The game was decided in South 4: Sho Shiratori tsumo 24,000, which moved Sho Shiratori's expected points by +96.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 26% | 24% | 25% | -3.2 | +0.4 | -3.1 | +5.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 3,000 | 22% | 26% | 24% | 29% | -8.0 | +13.9 | -3.6 | -2.3 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi | 17% | 36% | 21% | 26% | +0.7 | -26.7 | -3.0 | +29.1 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 15% | 15% | 17% | 53% | +7.0 | -4.7 | -4.9 | +2.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 2,600 from Sho Shiratori | 19% | 12% | 13% | 56% | -10.9 | +10.3 | -1.7 | +2.3 |
| South 1 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 2,000 | 12% | 16% | 12% | 60% | -5.5 | +9.6 | -4.7 | +0.6 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 7% | 20% | 10% | 62% | -5.7 | +8.3 | +1.2 | -3.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 4,000 | 6% | 27% | 11% | 57% | -6.1 | -9.7 | +14.0 | +1.9 |
| South 3 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 2,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 5% | 17% | 16% | 62% | -3.7 | +0.5 | -11.4 | +14.6 |
| South 4 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 24,000 | 2% | 8% | 3% | 87% | +96.6 | -22.3 | -26.6 | -47.8 |