Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
2/13 Game 2
Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+60.5pt). The game was decided in East 3: Kurosawa Saki tsumo 18,000, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +48.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 2,000 | 27% | 24% | 25% | 24% | -6.3 | -0.5 | +7.5 | -0.7 |
| East 2 | Asakura Koshin ron 1,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 20% | 25% | 32% | 23% | +6.5 | -7.2 | -1.7 | +2.5 |
| East 3 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 18,000 | 26% | 18% | 29% | 27% | -19.2 | -11.2 | +48.7 | -18.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Asakura Koshin ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 8% | 8% | 74% | 10% | +21.8 | -1.6 | -0.1 | -20.0 |
| East 4 | Draw | 15% | 7% | 74% | 5% | -1.1 | -1.1 | -3.0 | +5.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Asakura Koshin ron 2,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 16% | 7% | 70% | 6% | +11.3 | -0.9 | -4.9 | -5.6 |
| South 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 2,000 | 24% | 7% | 66% | 4% | -4.1 | -5.3 | +2.3 | +7.2 |
| South 2 | Draw | 17% | 6% | 73% | 5% | -3.7 | +2.7 | +3.7 | -2.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Asakura Koshin tsumo 4,000 | 14% | 5% | 76% | 4% | +14.6 | -9.2 | -1.9 | -3.5 |
| South 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 1% | 73% | 3% | -6.9 | +26.0 | -9.5 | -9.6 |
| South 4 | Kurosawa Saki ron 3,900 from Asakura Koshin | 21% | 8% | 68% | 3% | -7.2 | -5.4 | +19.2 | -6.6 |