Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
2/13 Game 2
Saki Kurosawa finished 1st (+60.5pt). The game was decided in East 3: Saki Kurosawa tsumo 18,000, which moved Saki Kurosawa's expected points by +46.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 2,000 | 26% | 25% | 25% | 24% | -5.8 | +0.7 | +5.0 | +0.1 |
| East 2 | Koshin Asakura ron 1,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 21% | 26% | 28% | 25% | +5.9 | -7.4 | +1.3 | +0.2 |
| East 3 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 18,000 | 25% | 20% | 30% | 26% | -15.4 | -14.7 | +46.0 | -15.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Koshin Asakura ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 10% | 7% | 72% | 11% | +18.8 | +0.4 | +1.2 | -20.3 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 16% | 6% | 74% | 5% | -1.0 | -0.8 | -1.3 | +3.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Koshin Asakura ron 2,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 17% | 6% | 73% | 5% | +11.5 | -2.0 | -6.0 | -3.5 |
| South 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 2,000 | 24% | 6% | 66% | 3% | -4.3 | -5.0 | +2.3 | +7.0 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 18% | 6% | 72% | 5% | -4.3 | +3.3 | +4.1 | -3.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Koshin Asakura tsumo 4,000 | 14% | 6% | 77% | 4% | +13.8 | -9.8 | -1.1 | -2.9 |
| South 3 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 12,000 | 22% | 1% | 75% | 3% | -5.0 | +25.5 | -9.6 | -10.9 |
| South 4 | Saki Kurosawa ron 3,900 from Koshin Asakura | 21% | 7% | 70% | 2% | -8.0 | -4.6 | +18.2 | -5.7 |