Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
2/14 Game 2
Hisato Sasaki finished 1st (+67.4pt). The game was decided in South 4: Hisato Sasaki ron 12,000 from Kenji Katsumata, which moved Hisato Sasaki's expected points by +47.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 24% | 24% | 27% | -2.1 | -3.8 | +4.0 | +1.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 22% | 28% | 27% | -3.5 | +5.0 | +1.1 | -2.6 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 6,000 | 20% | 26% | 28% | 26% | -8.9 | +23.1 | -5.4 | -8.8 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 5,200 from Kenji Katsumata | 14% | 43% | 23% | 19% | +1.6 | -3.0 | -17.2 | +18.6 |
| East 3 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 5,200 | 16% | 39% | 14% | 31% | -6.5 | -3.4 | -11.4 | +21.3 |
| East 4 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 6,000 | 9% | 34% | 7% | 50% | -3.3 | -7.2 | -5.7 | +16.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 6,400 | 7% | 21% | 4% | 67% | -7.7 | -0.8 | +17.1 | -8.6 |
| South 1 | Hisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 6% | 25% | 10% | 60% | -3.7 | +23.5 | -19.2 | -0.6 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 43% | 3% | 53% | -1.2 | +5.6 | -0.4 | -4.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 3,900 from Hisato Sasaki | 1% | 50% | 3% | 46% | +0.9 | -16.7 | -3.0 | +18.8 |
| South 3 | Seiichi Kondo ron 8,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 0% | 22% | 2% | 76% | +17.1 | -1.5 | -19.1 | +3.4 |
| South 4 | Hisato Sasaki ron 12,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 0% | 16% | 0% | 84% | -0.8 | +47.0 | -11.5 | -34.7 |