Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
2/14 Game 2
Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+67.4pt). The game was decided in South 4: Sasaki Hisato ron 12,000 from Katsumata Kenji, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +47.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 26% | 26% | 24% | -3.9 | -2.0 | +0.6 | +5.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 21% | 25% | 26% | 28% | -2.6 | 0.0 | +4.9 | -2.2 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 6,000 | 19% | 25% | 30% | 27% | -9.2 | +25.6 | -6.3 | -10.1 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 5,200 from Katsumata Kenji | 14% | 44% | 24% | 18% | +1.3 | -2.6 | -20.4 | +21.7 |
| East 3 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 5,200 | 14% | 40% | 12% | 33% | -3.8 | -2.7 | -10.8 | +17.3 |
| East 4 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 6,000 | 11% | 35% | 6% | 48% | -6.6 | -5.1 | -4.9 | +16.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 6,400 | 6% | 25% | 4% | 64% | -4.0 | -5.9 | +15.8 | -5.8 |
| South 1 | Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 6% | 21% | 9% | 64% | -5.2 | +25.3 | -17.7 | -2.4 |
| South 2 | Draw | 1% | 43% | 3% | 53% | -1.1 | +6.4 | -0.6 | -4.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 3,900 from Sasaki Hisato | 1% | 52% | 3% | 44% | +0.8 | -17.2 | -2.1 | +18.5 |
| South 3 | Kondo Seiichi ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 0% | 23% | 2% | 74% | +17.0 | -2.7 | -19.4 | +5.2 |
| South 4 | Sasaki Hisato ron 12,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 0% | 14% | 0% | 86% | -1.0 | +47.8 | -11.6 | -35.2 |