Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
2/15 Game 1
Asakura Koshin finished 1st (+59.4pt). The game was decided in South 3, 2 honba: Asakura Koshin ron 5,800 from Sawazaki Makoto, which moved Asakura Koshin's expected points by +23.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sawazaki Makoto ron 3,900 from Asakura Koshin | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | -0.5 | 0.0 | -10.4 | +11.0 |
| East 2 | Asakura Koshin ron 1,000 from Sawazaki Makoto | 24% | 24% | 17% | 35% | -1.0 | -2.1 | +4.2 | -1.2 |
| East 3 | Sawazaki Makoto ron 2,000 from Asakura Koshin | 24% | 22% | 21% | 34% | -2.1 | -0.2 | -7.2 | +9.5 |
| East 4 | Asakura Koshin ron 3,900 from Sawazaki Makoto | 21% | 22% | 15% | 42% | +2.9 | +0.4 | +13.0 | -16.3 |
| South 1 | Asakura Koshin ron 3,900 from Sawazaki Makoto | 24% | 24% | 24% | 28% | -4.2 | -4.3 | +22.6 | -14.2 |
| South 2 | Draw | 18% | 20% | 43% | 19% | -2.1 | +12.0 | -4.7 | -5.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 18% | 29% | 38% | 16% | -5.5 | -7.0 | +11.2 | +1.2 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Asakura Koshin ron 5,800 from Sawazaki Makoto | 14% | 20% | 49% | 16% | -0.5 | -2.8 | +23.2 | -19.9 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 8,000 | 5% | 9% | 81% | 5% | -15.2 | -9.0 | -6.8 | +31.0 |
| South 4 | Asakura Koshin ron 3,900 from Sawazaki Makoto | 3% | 4% | 79% | 13% | -2.0 | +16.0 | +15.1 | -29.1 |