Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
2/15 Game 1
Koshin Asakura finished 1st (+59.4pt). The game was decided in South 3, 2 honba: Koshin Asakura ron 5,800 from Makoto Sawazaki, which moved Koshin Asakura's expected points by +23.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Makoto Sawazaki 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change | Makoto Sawazaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Makoto Sawazaki ron 3,900 from Koshin Asakura | 28% | 23% | 24% | 25% | -7.1 | +0.8 | -8.2 | +14.6 |
| East 2 | Koshin Asakura ron 1,000 from Makoto Sawazaki | 20% | 25% | 19% | 36% | +1.9 | -4.5 | +4.0 | -1.4 |
| East 3 | Makoto Sawazaki ron 2,000 from Koshin Asakura | 22% | 21% | 22% | 36% | 0.0 | -0.9 | -9.5 | +10.4 |
| East 4 | Koshin Asakura ron 3,900 from Makoto Sawazaki | 21% | 20% | 15% | 44% | -0.3 | +2.1 | +15.6 | -17.5 |
| South 1 | Koshin Asakura ron 3,900 from Makoto Sawazaki | 22% | 23% | 26% | 29% | -2.2 | -4.6 | +22.0 | -15.2 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 18% | 19% | 45% | 18% | -2.1 | +10.1 | -6.2 | -1.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 19% | 25% | 37% | 19% | -6.6 | -6.3 | +11.6 | +1.3 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Koshin Asakura ron 5,800 from Makoto Sawazaki | 14% | 19% | 50% | 18% | +0.2 | -1.6 | +23.3 | -21.9 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 8,000 | 5% | 7% | 82% | 6% | -15.1 | -8.7 | -6.5 | +30.4 |
| South 4 | Koshin Asakura ron 3,900 from Makoto Sawazaki | 3% | 5% | 79% | 14% | -1.5 | +16.6 | +14.6 | -29.7 |