Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
2/15 Game 2
Katsumata Kenji finished 1st (+61.8pt). The game was decided in East 2: Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000, which moved Katsumata Kenji's expected points by +30.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kondo Seiichi ron 5,200 from Okada Sayaka | 26% | 24% | 25% | 24% | -16.0 | -0.1 | +14.1 | +2.0 |
| East 2 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000 | 16% | 24% | 35% | 26% | -8.9 | +30.5 | -10.6 | -11.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kondo Seiichi ron 3,200 from Katsumata Kenji | 11% | 48% | 24% | 17% | -1.8 | -9.8 | +11.2 | +0.4 |
| East 3 | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 3,000 | 9% | 38% | 34% | 19% | -1.8 | -5.5 | +13.0 | -5.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 9% | 32% | 45% | 14% | -2.1 | +10.5 | -5.7 | -2.6 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 2,600 from Kondo Seiichi | 7% | 42% | 38% | 12% | -2.1 | +11.6 | -7.1 | -2.3 |
| South 1 | Draw | 6% | 55% | 29% | 10% | +5.4 | -0.6 | -2.1 | -2.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kondo Seiichi ron 1,000 from Okada Sayaka | 8% | 54% | 29% | 9% | -7.9 | +3.4 | +6.6 | -2.1 |
| South 2 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 3,000 | 2% | 59% | 32% | 6% | -1.4 | +7.5 | -4.5 | -1.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 2% | 69% | 24% | 5% | -1.0 | +1.1 | +0.3 | -0.3 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 1,500 | 1% | 73% | 21% | 5% | -3.6 | +9.9 | -6.5 | +0.2 |
| South 4 | Okada Sayaka ron 8,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 0% | 91% | 5% | 4% | +20.6 | +4.3 | +1.2 | -26.1 |