Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
2/17 Game 2
Jun Murakami finished 1st (+53.3pt). The game was decided in East 2: Jun Murakami tsumo 12,000, which moved Jun Murakami's expected points by +34.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Satoshi Fujisaki 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Satoshi Fujisaki Expected pt change | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Jun Murakami tsumo 2,700 | 23% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -2.8 | +0.2 | +6.3 | -3.8 |
| East 2 | Jun Murakami tsumo 12,000 | 21% | 26% | 29% | 24% | -7.9 | -19.5 | +34.0 | -6.6 |
| East 3 | Saki Kurosawa ron 6,400 from Sho Shiratori | 14% | 11% | 59% | 16% | +19.3 | -4.1 | +0.2 | -15.4 |
| East 4 | Saki Kurosawa ron 2,600 from Satoshi Fujisaki | 23% | 8% | 59% | 11% | +9.9 | -8.4 | +1.2 | -2.7 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 29% | 5% | 60% | 6% | -3.4 | -3.3 | +0.4 | +6.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 2,000 from Jun Murakami | 24% | 5% | 63% | 8% | +3.8 | -7.0 | -2.3 | +5.5 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 28% | 1% | 61% | 9% | -3.3 | -5.0 | +1.6 | +6.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Satoshi Fujisaki tsumo 8,000 | 21% | 0% | 68% | 12% | -6.5 | +28.4 | +12.2 | -34.1 |