Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
2/17 Game 2
Murakami Jun finished 1st (+53.3pt). The game was decided in East 2: Murakami Jun tsumo 12,000, which moved Murakami Jun's expected points by +32.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Fujisaki Satoshi 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Fujisaki Satoshi Expected pt change | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Murakami Jun tsumo 2,700 | 25% | 24% | 24% | 27% | -4.4 | -1.5 | +8.0 | -2.1 |
| East 2 | Murakami Jun tsumo 12,000 | 22% | 22% | 31% | 25% | -6.5 | -18.4 | +32.3 | -7.5 |
| East 3 | Kurosawa Saki ron 6,400 from Shiratori Sho | 13% | 11% | 59% | 17% | +17.4 | -0.5 | -0.4 | -16.4 |
| East 4 | Kurosawa Saki ron 2,600 from Fujisaki Satoshi | 23% | 8% | 59% | 10% | +10.8 | -9.9 | +1.2 | -2.1 |
| South 1 | Draw | 30% | 5% | 59% | 6% | -3.9 | -3.4 | +1.6 | +5.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 2,000 from Murakami Jun | 24% | 5% | 63% | 8% | +3.9 | -7.3 | -1.9 | +5.4 |
| South 3 | Draw | 27% | 1% | 63% | 9% | -1.9 | -4.6 | +0.8 | +5.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Fujisaki Satoshi tsumo 8,000 | 22% | 0% | 68% | 11% | -7.6 | +28.6 | +12.1 | -33.1 |