Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
2/18 Game 1
Murakami Jun finished 1st (+66.0pt). The game was decided in East 1: Murakami Jun tsumo 18,000, which moved Murakami Jun's expected points by +47.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Murakami Jun tsumo 18,000 | 26% | 25% | 25% | 24% | +47.7 | -14.9 | -17.1 | -15.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 65% | 12% | 12% | 11% | -3.9 | +4.7 | -1.2 | +0.5 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 2,000 | 62% | 14% | 12% | 12% | -0.4 | -7.8 | -3.8 | +12.0 |
| East 3 | Draw | 63% | 10% | 9% | 18% | +2.6 | +5.8 | -4.2 | -4.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka ron 12,000 from Sawazaki Makoto | 67% | 12% | 7% | 15% | -4.1 | +33.7 | -25.0 | -4.6 |
| South 1 | Murakami Jun ron 12,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 58% | 30% | 2% | 10% | +24.9 | -4.5 | +2.3 | -22.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 8,000 | 84% | 14% | 1% | 1% | -11.2 | +17.1 | -3.3 | -2.6 |
| South 2 | Murakami Jun tsumo 2,000 | 68% | 30% | 0% | 1% | +6.9 | -6.4 | -1.8 | +1.2 |
| South 3 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 2,000 | 81% | 18% | 1% | 1% | +2.4 | -2.2 | -5.8 | +5.5 |
| South 4 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 18,000 | 87% | 12% | 0% | 1% | -7.6 | -10.6 | -7.3 | +25.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Murakami Jun ron 1,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 84% | 9% | 0% | 7% | +8.3 | -0.9 | +0.5 | -7.9 |