Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
2/18 Game 1
Jun Murakami finished 1st (+66.0pt). The game was decided in East 1: Jun Murakami tsumo 18,000, which moved Jun Murakami's expected points by +45.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Makoto Sawazaki 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Makoto Sawazaki Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Jun Murakami tsumo 18,000 | 26% | 25% | 24% | 26% | +45.3 | -13.3 | -15.2 | -16.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 62% | 13% | 13% | 12% | -2.1 | +4.1 | -2.4 | +0.5 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 2,000 | 62% | 15% | 11% | 12% | +0.2 | -9.2 | -2.1 | +11.1 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 64% | 9% | 11% | 16% | +0.9 | +8.6 | -6.9 | -2.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori ron 12,000 from Makoto Sawazaki | 66% | 12% | 7% | 15% | -1.4 | +30.9 | -24.6 | -4.9 |
| South 1 | Jun Murakami ron 12,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 60% | 29% | 2% | 9% | +22.9 | -3.5 | +4.0 | -23.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 8,000 | 84% | 14% | 1% | 2% | -11.9 | +17.2 | -2.9 | -2.4 |
| South 2 | Jun Murakami tsumo 2,000 | 68% | 30% | 1% | 1% | +8.6 | -7.7 | -2.3 | +1.3 |
| South 3 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 2,000 | 82% | 16% | 1% | 1% | +2.3 | -1.6 | -6.6 | +6.0 |
| South 4 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 18,000 | 88% | 11% | 0% | 1% | -7.6 | -9.3 | -7.2 | +24.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Jun Murakami ron 1,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 84% | 9% | 0% | 6% | +7.7 | -1.6 | +0.8 | -7.0 |