Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
2/18 Game 2
Kotaro Uchikawa finished 1st (+85.6pt). The game was decided in East 1: Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 18,000, which moved Kotaro Uchikawa's expected points by +44.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 18,000 | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | +44.2 | -12.7 | -14.9 | -16.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 60% | 13% | 13% | 13% | +4.4 | +1.8 | -3.7 | -2.4 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 12,000 | 65% | 14% | 11% | 11% | +23.7 | -8.0 | -8.1 | -7.6 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 12,000 from Taro Suzuki | 85% | 6% | 5% | 5% | +17.8 | +1.8 | -21.9 | +2.4 |
| East 1, 4 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 1,000 from Seiichi Kondo | 95% | 3% | 1% | 2% | -0.6 | -4.6 | +3.9 | +1.3 |
| East 2 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 5,200 | 96% | 2% | 1% | 2% | -0.9 | -5.4 | +8.9 | -2.5 |
| East 3 | Taro Suzuki ron 7,700 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 97% | 1% | 2% | 1% | -0.3 | 0.0 | +15.9 | -15.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 12,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 96% | 1% | 2% | 1% | -1.0 | -0.9 | +22.9 | -21.0 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 94% | 1% | 5% | 1% | +1.2 | -4.8 | +2.9 | +0.7 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 1,500 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 94% | 1% | 6% | 0% | -3.1 | -2.1 | +5.7 | -0.5 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 12,000 | 92% | 1% | 7% | 1% | -2.7 | +25.0 | -16.3 | -6.0 |
| East 4 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 1,100 | 94% | 3% | 3% | 0% | +3.8 | -0.6 | +0.6 | -3.8 |
| South 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 8,000 | 96% | 2% | 2% | 0% | -4.7 | -5.9 | -2.7 | +13.3 |
| South 2 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 2,600 from Taro Suzuki | 97% | 1% | 2% | 0% | +3.8 | +0.5 | -3.3 | -1.0 |
| South 3 | Seiichi Kondo ron 6,400 from Taro Suzuki | 99% | 0% | 1% | 0% | +0.5 | +18.2 | -19.1 | +0.3 |
| South 4 | Seiichi Kondo ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | +0.1 | +10.2 | +1.9 | -12.3 |