Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
2/18 Game 2
Uchikawa Kotaro finished 1st (+85.6pt). The game was decided in East 1: Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 18,000, which moved Uchikawa Kotaro's expected points by +45.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 18,000 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | +45.7 | -14.4 | -17.3 | -14.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 61% | 13% | 13% | 13% | +1.8 | +5.6 | -3.5 | -3.9 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,000 | 63% | 15% | 10% | 11% | +24.9 | -11.1 | -7.6 | -6.2 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 12,000 from Suzuki Taro | 85% | 6% | 5% | 5% | +17.3 | +2.4 | -21.2 | +1.5 |
| East 1, 4 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 1,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 94% | 3% | 1% | 2% | -1.2 | -3.6 | +4.1 | +0.6 |
| East 2 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 5,200 | 95% | 3% | 1% | 2% | -0.6 | -7.3 | +9.8 | -2.0 |
| East 3 | Suzuki Taro ron 7,700 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 96% | 1% | 1% | 2% | +0.9 | +0.4 | +14.8 | -16.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 12,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 96% | 1% | 2% | 1% | -1.6 | +0.1 | +22.9 | -21.4 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Draw | 94% | 1% | 5% | 0% | +1.8 | -4.0 | +1.8 | +0.4 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 1,500 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 94% | 1% | 5% | 0% | -3.9 | -3.5 | +6.4 | +1.0 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 12,000 | 92% | 1% | 7% | 1% | -2.1 | +25.0 | -15.7 | -7.2 |
| East 4 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 1,100 | 95% | 2% | 3% | 0% | +3.1 | -0.5 | +0.4 | -3.0 |
| South 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000 | 96% | 1% | 2% | 0% | -4.0 | -6.0 | -3.3 | +13.3 |
| South 2 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,600 from Suzuki Taro | 98% | 1% | 1% | 0% | +3.1 | +0.3 | -3.8 | +0.3 |
| South 3 | Kondo Seiichi ron 6,400 from Suzuki Taro | 99% | 0% | 1% | 0% | +1.0 | +17.9 | -17.6 | -1.3 |
| South 4 | Kondo Seiichi ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.0 | +10.6 | +1.4 | -12.0 |