Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
2/20 Game 2
Kobayashi Go finished 1st (+73.6pt). The game was decided in East 4, 2 honba: Kobayashi Go ron 12,000 from Maehara Yudai, which moved Kobayashi Go's expected points by +38.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Maehara Yudai Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 23% | 26% | 25% | -17.2 | +31.9 | -7.3 | -7.4 |
| East 2 | Maehara Yudai ron 12,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 13% | 50% | 19% | 18% | +33.6 | -6.5 | 0.0 | -27.1 |
| East 3 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000 | 34% | 40% | 18% | 7% | -11.4 | -10.1 | +31.0 | -9.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 24% | 31% | 40% | 5% | +5.1 | +5.0 | -11.3 | +1.1 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 12,000 from Maehara Yudai | 28% | 37% | 30% | 5% | -36.2 | +38.7 | -0.3 | -2.2 |
| South 1 | Draw | 4% | 78% | 17% | 2% | +7.0 | -1.3 | -2.0 | -3.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 5% | 78% | 16% | 2% | +1.9 | -6.6 | +2.1 | +2.7 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Draw | 7% | 70% | 21% | 2% | +3.7 | +2.0 | -3.1 | -2.7 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 4,000 | 9% | 72% | 18% | 2% | -7.3 | +12.6 | -3.2 | -2.1 |
| South 2 | Draw | 1% | 88% | 10% | 1% | -2.5 | +2.2 | +2.6 | -2.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 5,800 from Maehara Yudai | 1% | 90% | 9% | 0% | -12.3 | +8.9 | +0.6 | +2.8 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Maehara Yudai tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 94% | 6% | 0% | +17.7 | -4.7 | -4.7 | -8.3 |
| South 3 | Kurosawa Saki ron 12,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 0% | 95% | 5% | 0% | +10.1 | +2.5 | -32.1 | +19.5 |
| South 4 | Kurosawa Saki ron 12,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 0% | 99% | 0% | 1% | -8.0 | -1.1 | -30.5 | +39.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Maehara Yudai tsumo 2,700 | 0% | 97% | 0% | 3% | +18.8 | +0.8 | -0.4 | -19.2 |