Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
2/20 Game 2
Go Kobayashi finished 1st (+73.6pt). The game was decided in East 4, 2 honba: Go Kobayashi ron 12,000 from Yudai Maehara, which moved Go Kobayashi's expected points by +38.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yudai Maehara 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Yudai Maehara Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 25% | 22% | 28% | -17.9 | +33.7 | -3.9 | -11.9 |
| East 2 | Yudai Maehara ron 12,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 13% | 51% | 18% | 18% | +35.0 | -3.8 | -3.1 | -28.1 |
| East 3 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 12,000 | 33% | 45% | 16% | 6% | -11.1 | -14.5 | +31.9 | -6.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 31% | 38% | 5% | +3.2 | +5.3 | -8.2 | -0.2 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 12,000 from Yudai Maehara | 27% | 37% | 32% | 5% | -34.2 | +38.7 | -1.8 | -2.6 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 4% | 78% | 17% | 2% | +6.2 | -1.8 | -2.7 | -1.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 6% | 76% | 16% | 2% | +1.1 | -5.1 | +3.3 | +0.7 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 6% | 72% | 21% | 2% | +5.2 | +2.4 | -5.3 | -2.3 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 4,000 | 8% | 73% | 17% | 2% | -7.0 | +12.4 | -3.6 | -1.8 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 90% | 8% | 1% | -3.6 | +1.0 | +4.6 | -2.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 5,800 from Yudai Maehara | 1% | 89% | 10% | 1% | -12.2 | +9.5 | +0.3 | +2.3 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Yudai Maehara tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 94% | 5% | 1% | +18.7 | -4.3 | -6.3 | -8.1 |
| South 3 | Saki Kurosawa ron 12,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 0% | 95% | 4% | 0% | +9.0 | +1.7 | -31.4 | +20.7 |
| South 4 | Saki Kurosawa ron 12,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 0% | 99% | 0% | 1% | -8.1 | -0.4 | -28.9 | +37.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Yudai Maehara tsumo 2,700 | 0% | 98% | 0% | 2% | +19.1 | +0.3 | -0.9 | -18.5 |