Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
2/21 Game 1
Sawazaki Makoto finished 1st (+74.3pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Sawazaki Makoto ron 12,000 from Fujisaki Satoshi, which moved Sawazaki Makoto's expected points by +37.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Fujisaki Satoshi 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Fujisaki Satoshi Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -4.9 | +2.5 | +5.4 | -3.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sawazaki Makoto ron 2,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 22% | 26% | 27% | 25% | -0.6 | -3.8 | +12.8 | -8.4 |
| East 3 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 2,000 | 20% | 24% | 37% | 20% | -0.4 | +6.3 | -3.5 | -2.3 |
| East 4 | Draw | 20% | 28% | 35% | 18% | -1.6 | -3.8 | -1.4 | +6.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 19% | 26% | 33% | 22% | +4.5 | -2.5 | +6.4 | -8.4 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Sawazaki Makoto ron 1,000 from Fujisaki Satoshi | 22% | 23% | 40% | 15% | -9.2 | -2.3 | +11.0 | +0.6 |
| South 2 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 7,800 | 13% | 20% | 51% | 15% | -8.1 | +26.8 | -11.1 | -7.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sawazaki Makoto ron 12,000 from Fujisaki Satoshi | 9% | 42% | 38% | 12% | -28.9 | -9.4 | +37.0 | +1.3 |
| South 3 | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 14% | 81% | 5% | -4.4 | -11.0 | +19.9 | -4.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Fujisaki Satoshi ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 0% | 1% | 98% | 2% | +14.5 | -12.9 | -0.1 | -1.5 |
| South 4 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 0% | 99% | 1% | -10.7 | +14.3 | -0.4 | -3.2 |