Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2019-20 Regular Season

2/21 Game 2

Yuumi Uotani finished 1st (+61.8pt). The game was decided in South 4: Yuumi Uotani ron 5,200 from Hisato Sasaki, which moved Yuumi Uotani's expected points by +41.2.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 1End● Yuumi Uotani● Masato Hagiwara● Sayaka Okada● Hisato Sasaki0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Yuumi● Masato● Sayaka● Hisato
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultYuumi Uotani
1st-place chance
Masato Hagiwara
1st-place chance
Sayaka Okada
1st-place chance
Hisato Sasaki
1st-place chance
Yuumi Uotani
Expected pt change
Masato Hagiwara
Expected pt change
Sayaka Okada
Expected pt change
Hisato Sasaki
Expected pt change
East 1Masato Hagiwara ron 2,000 from Yuumi Uotani27%24%24%26%-8.9+7.4-0.4+2.0
East 2Exhaustive draw21%29%24%27%-5.3+5.9-3.2+2.6
East 2, 1 honbaExhaustive draw17%34%22%27%+3.2+2.8-4.2-1.8
East 2, 2 honbaHisato Sasaki tsumo 8,00019%36%18%27%-4.0-15.8-7.2+27.0
East 3Yuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Sayaka Okada15%21%14%50%+24.0-3.7-20.8+0.6
East 4Exhaustive draw28%17%6%49%-3.4+9.7-3.5-2.8
South 1, 1 honbaYuumi Uotani ron 9,600 from Sayaka Okada25%24%5%46%+28.0-5.9-16.6-5.5
South 1, 2 honbaExhaustive draw49%15%1%34%+3.4+2.4-1.6-4.2
South 1, 3 honbaHisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Yuumi Uotani53%17%1%29%-30.9-3.8+0.7+34.0
South 2Exhaustive draw14%11%1%74%+4.9-5.0-2.0+2.2
South 3, 1 honbaYuumi Uotani ron 2,000 from Masato Hagiwara16%6%1%78%+8.1-7.5-2.8+2.2
South 4Yuumi Uotani ron 5,200 from Hisato Sasaki16%1%0%82%+41.2-1.6+0.6-40.1

All 2019-20 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)