Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2019-20 Regular Season

2/21 Game 2

Uotani Yuumi finished 1st (+61.8pt). The game was decided in South 4: Uotani Yuumi ron 5,200 from Sasaki Hisato, which moved Uotani Yuumi's expected points by +41.2.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 1End● Uotani Yuumi● Hagiwara Masato● Okada Sayaka● Sasaki Hisato0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Uotani● Hagiwara● Okada● Sasaki
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultUotani Yuumi
1st-place chance
Hagiwara Masato
1st-place chance
Okada Sayaka
1st-place chance
Sasaki Hisato
1st-place chance
Uotani Yuumi
Expected pt change
Hagiwara Masato
Expected pt change
Okada Sayaka
Expected pt change
Sasaki Hisato
Expected pt change
East 1Hagiwara Masato ron 2,000 from Uotani Yuumi24%25%24%27%-7.7+11.2-1.8-1.7
East 2Draw19%33%23%25%-2.4+3.6-6.1+4.9
East 2, 1 honbaDraw19%35%19%28%+1.5-0.8+0.3-1.0
East 2, 2 honbaSasaki Hisato tsumo 8,00018%34%20%28%-6.7-13.4-7.1+27.2
East 3Uotani Yuumi ron 8,000 from Okada Sayaka14%20%15%50%+26.0-2.2-22.5-1.3
East 4Draw29%18%6%47%-3.5+8.1-3.6-1.0
South 1, 1 honbaUotani Yuumi ron 9,600 from Okada Sayaka26%25%4%46%+25.6-4.3-14.2-7.1
South 1, 2 honbaDraw47%18%2%33%+3.5+1.1-2.3-2.3
South 1, 3 honbaSasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Uotani Yuumi52%17%2%30%-31.1-2.4-1.1+34.7
South 2Draw12%12%1%75%+7.2-6.8-1.4+1.1
South 3, 1 honbaUotani Yuumi ron 2,000 from Hagiwara Masato16%6%1%78%+7.7-7.7-2.2+2.3
South 4Uotani Yuumi ron 5,200 from Sasaki Hisato16%1%0%82%+41.2-1.4+0.6-40.3

All 2019-20 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)