Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
2/24 Game 1
Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+65.1pt). The game was decided in East 4: Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +31.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | +3.1 | -1.8 | +1.7 | -3.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 3,900 from Koshin Asakura | 29% | 24% | 24% | 23% | -3.7 | -1.0 | -10.0 | +14.7 |
| East 2 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Koshin Asakura | 23% | 22% | 20% | 34% | +29.2 | -4.0 | -21.9 | -3.3 |
| East 3 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 2,700 | 48% | 17% | 9% | 27% | +0.4 | -2.0 | -6.5 | +8.2 |
| East 4 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000 | 48% | 14% | 5% | 33% | -14.8 | -7.4 | -8.8 | +31.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 12,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 26% | 8% | 2% | 64% | -28.2 | -1.0 | +1.8 | +27.4 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000 | 4% | 3% | 1% | 92% | +20.7 | -5.9 | -4.8 | -10.0 |
| South 1 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 12,000 from Koshin Asakura | 11% | 4% | 1% | 84% | +22.0 | +0.2 | -17.4 | -4.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 2% | 0% | 72% | -4.6 | +4.9 | -1.1 | +0.9 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Jun Murakami tsumo 18,000 | 21% | 3% | 0% | 76% | -16.9 | +39.2 | -7.1 | -15.2 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 3,900 from Kazunori Takizawa | 15% | 26% | 0% | 59% | -13.3 | -4.3 | +0.1 | +17.5 |
| South 3 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000 | 3% | 12% | 0% | 84% | +18.3 | -11.6 | -5.4 | -1.3 |
| South 4 | Koshin Asakura tsumo 4,000 | 9% | 7% | 0% | 85% | +2.6 | -11.2 | +5.6 | +2.9 |