Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
2/24 Game 1
Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+65.1pt). The game was decided in East 4: Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +34.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 24% | 26% | 25% | 26% | +3.8 | -2.8 | +3.7 | -4.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 3,900 from Asakura Koshin | 26% | 24% | 28% | 23% | +1.3 | -0.9 | -14.8 | +14.4 |
| East 2 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Asakura Koshin | 28% | 22% | 18% | 32% | +26.0 | -3.2 | -19.9 | -2.8 |
| East 3 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 2,700 | 48% | 16% | 8% | 27% | +0.7 | -0.5 | -6.8 | +6.6 |
| East 4 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000 | 49% | 15% | 5% | 31% | -15.8 | -9.4 | -8.9 | +34.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 12,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 24% | 8% | 2% | 66% | -28.1 | -1.7 | +3.9 | +26.0 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000 | 4% | 3% | 2% | 92% | +19.0 | -3.6 | -7.7 | -7.7 |
| South 1 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 12,000 from Asakura Koshin | 9% | 3% | 1% | 87% | +24.8 | -0.5 | -15.8 | -8.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 28% | 2% | 0% | 69% | -4.4 | +3.9 | -1.5 | +2.0 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Murakami Jun tsumo 18,000 | 22% | 3% | 0% | 74% | -16.9 | +38.8 | -7.6 | -14.2 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 3,900 from Takizawa Kazunori | 16% | 25% | 0% | 59% | -14.8 | -3.2 | +0.9 | +17.1 |
| South 3 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000 | 4% | 12% | 0% | 84% | +19.5 | -12.1 | -5.8 | -1.5 |
| South 4 | Asakura Koshin tsumo 4,000 | 9% | 6% | 0% | 84% | +2.2 | -11.2 | +5.7 | +3.3 |