Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2019-20 Regular Season

2/24 Game 2

Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+65.7pt). The game was decided in East 4, 4 honba: Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +39.0.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 2End● Takaharu Ooi● Ken Sonoda● Kenji Katsumata● Koshin Asakura0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Takaharu● Ken● Kenji● Koshin
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultTakaharu Ooi
1st-place chance
Ken Sonoda
1st-place chance
Kenji Katsumata
1st-place chance
Koshin Asakura
1st-place chance
Takaharu Ooi
Expected pt change
Ken Sonoda
Expected pt change
Kenji Katsumata
Expected pt change
Koshin Asakura
Expected pt change
East 1Exhaustive draw26%24%24%26%+4.9+3.3-3.1-5.1
East 1, 1 honbaExhaustive draw29%26%23%22%-3.9-4.4+2.7+5.6
East 2, 2 honbaExhaustive draw26%24%25%25%+2.5-8.7+5.0+1.2
East 3, 3 honbaExhaustive draw27%18%28%26%-0.2+10.2-8.4-1.5
East 4, 4 honbaTakaharu Ooi tsumo 8,00027%24%22%27%+39.0-11.2-7.4-20.3
South 1Exhaustive draw66%13%12%9%-2.4-2.5+7.5-2.6
South 2, 1 honbaKenji Katsumata tsumo 8,00064%12%15%9%-3.5-17.1+27.2-6.6
South 3Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Kenji Katsumata59%2%33%6%+25.0+3.2-23.6-4.6
South 4Takaharu Ooi ron 2,600 from Koshin Asakura96%0%1%3%+4.0+4.6+5.3-13.9

All 2019-20 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)