Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
2/25 Game 1
Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+72.2pt). The game was decided in South 2: Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +26.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Makoto Sawazaki 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Makoto Sawazaki Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Taro Suzuki ron 7,700 from Makoto Sawazaki | 25% | 26% | 24% | 25% | +23.4 | -18.8 | -1.8 | -2.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 4,000 | 41% | 15% | 22% | 23% | -6.1 | +7.4 | +0.7 | -2.0 |
| East 2 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 1,100 | 37% | 18% | 24% | 22% | +6.0 | -2.1 | -3.3 | -0.7 |
| East 3 | Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 42% | 15% | 21% | 21% | +23.1 | +1.2 | -1.6 | -22.7 |
| East 4 | Makoto Sawazaki ron 8,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 66% | 12% | 13% | 8% | -1.5 | +20.8 | -0.5 | -18.8 |
| South 1 | Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 8,000 | 63% | 22% | 12% | 3% | -14.0 | +24.7 | -6.3 | -4.4 |
| South 2 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 43% | 47% | 8% | 2% | +26.2 | -18.7 | -3.3 | -4.2 |
| South 3 | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 2,000 | 81% | 14% | 4% | 1% | +4.1 | -0.3 | -6.6 | +2.7 |
| South 4 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 90% | 9% | 0% | 1% | +11.8 | -4.1 | 0.0 | -7.7 |