Game · 2019-20 Regular Season

2/25 Game 2

Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+68.3pt). The game was decided in South 4, 2 honba: Kurosawa Saki ron 32,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +94.0.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

Hands	Result	Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance	Murakami Jun 1st-place chance	Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance	Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance	Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change	Murakami Jun Expected pt change	Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change	Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change
East 1	Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000	26%	26%	25%	24%	+28.5	-8.1	-11.3	-9.1
East 1, 1 honba	Murakami Jun tsumo 12,000	46%	20%	17%	17%	-14.7	+29.0	-7.1	-7.2
East 2	Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji	31%	40%	15%	14%	+21.6	-4.7	+0.1	-17.0
East 3	Draw	51%	30%	11%	7%	-2.2	+9.6	-3.9	-3.6
East 4, 1 honba	Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000	48%	39%	7%	6%	-8.4	-8.5	-10.6	+27.5
East 4, 2 honba	Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000	42%	35%	6%	17%	-12.6	-12.7	-9.5	+34.7
East 4, 3 honba	Murakami Jun ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki	30%	24%	5%	42%	-27.8	+30.2	-0.1	-2.3
South 1	Murakami Jun tsumo 4,000	10%	52%	3%	35%	-10.0	+13.9	-1.3	-2.6
South 2	Draw	2%	69%	3%	27%	0.0	+5.3	-1.4	-3.9
South 2, 1 honba	Draw	2%	76%	2%	21%	-0.6	+2.2	-2.1	+0.5
South 3, 2 honba	Katsumata Kenji ron 3,900 from Uchikawa Kotaro	1%	82%	1%	16%	+1.6	-0.4	-11.3	+10.1
South 4	Draw	0%	80%	0%	20%	-1.1	-4.5	-0.9	+6.4
South 4, 1 honba	Katsumata Kenji ron 2,900 from Murakami Jun	0%	72%	0%	28%	+0.2	-23.1	-0.3	+23.1
South 4, 2 honba	Kurosawa Saki ron 32,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro	0%	23%	0%	77%	+94.0	-28.3	-32.6	-33.0

All 2019-20 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)