Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
2/25 Game 2
Saki Kurosawa finished 1st (+68.3pt). The game was decided in South 4, 2 honba: Saki Kurosawa ron 32,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa, which moved Saki Kurosawa's expected points by +94.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 23% | 25% | 26% | +30.2 | -8.8 | -11.6 | -9.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Jun Murakami tsumo 12,000 | 48% | 17% | 18% | 17% | -15.9 | +30.9 | -6.7 | -8.3 |
| East 2 | Saki Kurosawa ron 8,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 33% | 39% | 15% | 13% | +19.5 | -1.8 | -1.1 | -16.6 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 49% | 33% | 12% | 6% | +0.3 | +9.6 | -6.4 | -3.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 12,000 | 48% | 41% | 7% | 4% | -10.3 | -10.2 | -8.9 | +29.5 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 12,000 | 41% | 35% | 8% | 17% | -11.2 | -13.4 | -9.8 | +34.4 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Jun Murakami ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 30% | 23% | 4% | 43% | -28.6 | +29.7 | +1.4 | -2.5 |
| South 1 | Jun Murakami tsumo 4,000 | 10% | 50% | 3% | 36% | -10.3 | +16.8 | -2.9 | -3.6 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 72% | 2% | 25% | -0.2 | +4.3 | -1.4 | -2.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 77% | 2% | 20% | +0.6 | +1.1 | -1.0 | -0.7 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 3,900 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 1% | 82% | 1% | 16% | +1.3 | -0.8 | -11.6 | +11.1 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 79% | 0% | 21% | -1.2 | -3.4 | -1.1 | +5.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 2,900 from Jun Murakami | 0% | 72% | 0% | 28% | -0.1 | -23.2 | +0.2 | +23.1 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 32,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 0% | 23% | 0% | 77% | +94.4 | -28.7 | -32.8 | -33.0 |