Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2019-20 Regular Season

2/27 Game 1

Yuumi Uotani finished 1st (+114.4pt). The game was decided in East 1: Yuumi Uotani tsumo 32,000, which moved Yuumi Uotani's expected points by +73.7.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 2South 2End● Yuumi Uotani● Nobuhiro Ishibashi● Yoshihiro Matsumoto● Yudai Maehara0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Yuumi● Nobuhiro● Yoshihiro● Yudai
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultNobuhiro Ishibashi
1st-place chance
Yuumi Uotani
1st-place chance
Yoshihiro Matsumoto
1st-place chance
Yudai Maehara
1st-place chance
Nobuhiro Ishibashi
Expected pt change
Yuumi Uotani
Expected pt change
Yoshihiro Matsumoto
Expected pt change
Yudai Maehara
Expected pt change
East 1Yuumi Uotani tsumo 32,00027%24%24%25%-36.8+73.7-20.5-16.4
East 2Yuumi Uotani ron 3,900 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto3%87%4%6%+1.4+4.9-6.0-0.3
East 2, 1 honbaYuumi Uotani tsumo 12,0002%90%3%5%-5.4+16.0-4.8-5.8
East 2, 2 honbaYuumi Uotani ron 12,000 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi1%97%1%1%-19.3+12.9+3.4+3.0
East 2, 3 honbaYoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 2,0000%99%1%0%-4.3-2.2+8.3-1.8
East 3Yuumi Uotani tsumo 8,0000%99%1%0%-2.4+9.2-6.1-0.7
East 4Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Yudai Maehara0%100%0%0%+1.1+1.2+16.2-18.5
South 1Exhaustive draw0%100%0%0%-4.1+3.2+0.2+0.7
South 2, 1 honbaExhaustive draw0%100%0%0%+3.3+0.4-0.7-3.0
South 2, 2 honbaYudai Maehara ron 2,000 from Yuumi Uotani0%100%0%0%-2.9-4.3+0.6+6.6
South 3Exhaustive draw0%100%0%0%+2.70.0-1.0-1.7
South 4, 1 honbaExhaustive draw0%100%0%0%-1.2+1.0-2.0+2.1
South 4, 2 honbaYoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 1,1000%100%0%0%-3.3-0.7+7.6-3.6

All 2019-20 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)