Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
2/27 Game 2
Go Kobayashi finished 1st (+59.7pt). The game was decided in East 4, 3 honba: Go Kobayashi tsumo 8,000, which moved Go Kobayashi's expected points by +32.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Satoshi Fujisaki 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Satoshi Fujisaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Go Kobayashi ron 8,000 from Seiichi Kondo | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -21.6 | +2.3 | +21.7 | -2.4 |
| East 2 | Satoshi Fujisaki ron 5,200 from Go Kobayashi | 12% | 24% | 41% | 23% | -0.4 | -2.0 | -16.5 | +18.9 |
| East 3 | Go Kobayashi ron 1,500 from Satoshi Fujisaki | 12% | 22% | 28% | 38% | +1.0 | -1.8 | +6.3 | -5.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 14% | 21% | 32% | 33% | -3.9 | -1.0 | -4.9 | +9.9 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 11% | 20% | 27% | 41% | -2.4 | +2.0 | -2.2 | +2.6 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 8,000 | 9% | 21% | 25% | 44% | -7.6 | -8.6 | +32.9 | -16.7 |
| South 1 | Satoshi Fujisaki ron 1,300 from Seiichi Kondo | 5% | 13% | 58% | 24% | -9.3 | +0.7 | +2.4 | +6.2 |
| South 2 | Aiko Hinata ron 3,900 from Seiichi Kondo | 1% | 12% | 61% | 26% | -8.2 | +10.2 | -0.7 | -1.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Seiichi Kondo ron 12,000 from Aiko Hinata | 0% | 16% | 58% | 25% | +29.6 | -39.2 | +6.4 | +3.2 |
| South 3 | Go Kobayashi ron 7,700 from Seiichi Kondo | 3% | 1% | 71% | 25% | -18.6 | +6.6 | +15.0 | -3.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Aiko Hinata tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 1% | 87% | 12% | -8.7 | +17.2 | -4.5 | -3.9 |
| South 4 | Aiko Hinata tsumo 6,400 | 0% | 1% | 89% | 10% | -4.0 | +24.8 | +3.6 | -24.4 |