Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
2/27 Game 2
Kobayashi Go finished 1st (+59.7pt). The game was decided in East 4, 3 honba: Kobayashi Go tsumo 8,000, which moved Kobayashi Go's expected points by +32.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Fujisaki Satoshi 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Fujisaki Satoshi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kobayashi Go ron 8,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 26% | 25% | 24% | 24% | -23.5 | +0.4 | +22.7 | +0.4 |
| East 2 | Fujisaki Satoshi ron 5,200 from Kobayashi Go | 12% | 23% | 41% | 24% | -0.6 | -2.6 | -12.0 | +15.2 |
| East 3 | Kobayashi Go ron 1,500 from Fujisaki Satoshi | 12% | 22% | 31% | 35% | -1.3 | +0.2 | +4.5 | -3.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 11% | 21% | 34% | 33% | -3.3 | -2.0 | -5.7 | +10.9 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Draw | 9% | 20% | 29% | 43% | -1.4 | +2.3 | -3.0 | +2.1 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 8,000 | 10% | 20% | 25% | 44% | -8.5 | -6.2 | +32.0 | -17.3 |
| South 1 | Fujisaki Satoshi ron 1,300 from Kondo Seiichi | 5% | 14% | 57% | 24% | -8.8 | -1.7 | +4.1 | +6.4 |
| South 2 | Hinata Aiko ron 3,900 from Kondo Seiichi | 1% | 11% | 62% | 26% | -6.5 | +9.0 | -2.8 | +0.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kondo Seiichi ron 12,000 from Hinata Aiko | 1% | 16% | 57% | 27% | +28.3 | -37.6 | +6.7 | +2.6 |
| South 3 | Kobayashi Go ron 7,700 from Kondo Seiichi | 3% | 1% | 70% | 25% | -17.0 | +4.7 | +14.8 | -2.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Hinata Aiko tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 1% | 85% | 14% | -9.8 | +18.2 | -4.3 | -4.1 |
| South 4 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 6,400 | 0% | 1% | 88% | 11% | -4.0 | +25.3 | +4.1 | -25.3 |