Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
2/28 Game 1
Mari Takamiya finished 1st (+67.6pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Mari Takamiya ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki, which moved Mari Takamiya's expected points by +24.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Makoto Sawazaki 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Makoto Sawazaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 25% | 26% | 25% | +9.6 | -3.6 | -3.5 | -2.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Mari Takamiya ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki | 31% | 23% | 24% | 23% | -4.8 | -21.4 | +24.7 | +1.5 |
| East 2 | Go Kobayashi ron 1,300 from Mari Takamiya | 25% | 12% | 41% | 22% | +6.4 | -2.8 | -3.8 | +0.2 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 30% | 9% | 37% | 24% | -5.4 | -5.0 | +4.4 | +6.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki | 25% | 7% | 41% | 26% | +23.4 | -16.5 | -3.5 | -3.4 |
| East 4 | Mari Takamiya ron 3,900 from Taro Suzuki | 43% | 3% | 33% | 21% | -2.1 | -7.2 | +14.8 | -5.5 |
| South 1 | Mari Takamiya ron 8,000 from Makoto Sawazaki | 38% | 1% | 47% | 14% | -4.6 | +0.1 | +21.4 | -16.9 |
| South 2 | Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 12,000 | 22% | 1% | 73% | 4% | -9.6 | -10.5 | -3.6 | +23.7 |
| South 3 | Mari Takamiya ron 5,800 from Go Kobayashi | 15% | 0% | 72% | 13% | -15.7 | -0.1 | +13.8 | +2.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Mari Takamiya ron 2,900 from Go Kobayashi | 2% | 0% | 91% | 7% | -6.4 | -0.1 | +4.2 | +2.3 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi | 1% | 0% | 93% | 7% | -14.9 | +11.6 | -1.3 | +4.6 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 95% | 5% | -3.1 | +2.6 | -1.9 | +2.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 2,000 from Mari Takamiya | 0% | 0% | 93% | 7% | +4.6 | -2.4 | +0.9 | -3.0 |