Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
2/28 Game 1
Takamiya Mari finished 1st (+67.6pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Takamiya Mari ron 8,000 from Suzuki Taro, which moved Takamiya Mari's expected points by +26.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 26% | 26% | 24% | +6.9 | -0.9 | -4.9 | -1.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 8,000 from Suzuki Taro | 30% | 24% | 22% | 23% | -3.5 | -23.0 | +26.3 | +0.2 |
| East 2 | Kobayashi Go ron 1,300 from Takamiya Mari | 25% | 12% | 41% | 22% | +5.0 | -3.4 | -2.4 | +0.9 |
| East 3 | Draw | 29% | 9% | 38% | 23% | -5.5 | -2.5 | +5.0 | +2.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 8,000 from Suzuki Taro | 24% | 9% | 43% | 24% | +25.8 | -19.6 | -5.8 | -0.4 |
| East 4 | Takamiya Mari ron 3,900 from Suzuki Taro | 44% | 3% | 32% | 21% | -1.8 | -6.9 | +14.3 | -5.6 |
| South 1 | Takamiya Mari ron 8,000 from Sawazaki Makoto | 39% | 1% | 45% | 14% | -4.3 | -0.8 | +21.0 | -15.9 |
| South 2 | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 1% | 71% | 4% | -10.3 | -9.6 | -2.9 | +22.9 |
| South 3 | Takamiya Mari ron 5,800 from Kobayashi Go | 16% | 0% | 71% | 13% | -15.7 | +0.1 | +13.1 | +2.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 2,900 from Kobayashi Go | 3% | 0% | 88% | 10% | -6.8 | -0.5 | +5.5 | +1.8 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go | 1% | 0% | 92% | 7% | -15.6 | +11.9 | -1.2 | +4.8 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 0% | 94% | 6% | -2.5 | +2.1 | -1.5 | +1.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 2,000 from Takamiya Mari | 0% | 0% | 93% | 7% | +4.3 | -2.1 | +0.7 | -2.9 |