Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
2/28 Game 2
Kotaro Uchikawa finished 1st (+71.5pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 12,000, which moved Kotaro Uchikawa's expected points by +33.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Jun Murakami tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -10.9 | +21.7 | -5.3 | -5.4 |
| East 2 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 1,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 17% | 41% | 21% | 22% | +0.1 | -0.8 | -4.3 | +5.0 |
| East 3 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 3,900 from Koshin Asakura | 17% | 40% | 19% | 24% | -12.0 | +3.8 | -3.4 | +11.6 |
| East 4 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 1,500 from Jun Murakami | 10% | 44% | 15% | 31% | +1.8 | -4.1 | -2.3 | +4.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 12,000 | 12% | 40% | 13% | 35% | -9.8 | -14.9 | -8.2 | +33.0 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 6,000 | 6% | 19% | 7% | 68% | -5.4 | -4.6 | -3.8 | +13.9 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Jun Murakami tsumo 4,000 | 3% | 12% | 4% | 81% | -5.4 | +13.4 | -2.7 | -5.3 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 19% | 3% | 76% | +6.2 | -2.5 | -2.8 | -0.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Jun Murakami tsumo 12,000 | 3% | 18% | 3% | 76% | -13.0 | +30.0 | -3.3 | -13.7 |
| South 2 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 0% | 49% | 2% | 49% | +6.2 | -12.7 | -16.0 | +22.5 |
| South 3 | Jun Murakami ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 0% | 19% | 1% | 80% | +6.2 | +21.8 | -15.5 | -12.5 |
| South 4 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 7,700 from Jun Murakami | 0% | 51% | 0% | 49% | -0.2 | -26.7 | 0.0 | +26.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 16,000 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 97% | -23.2 | -5.3 | +36.0 | -7.6 |