Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
2/28 Game 2
Uchikawa Kotaro finished 1st (+71.5pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,000, which moved Uchikawa Kotaro's expected points by +31.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Murakami Jun tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 25% | 27% | 23% | -12.4 | +24.1 | -7.8 | -3.9 |
| East 2 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 1,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 16% | 42% | 20% | 21% | -0.3 | -1.1 | -1.9 | +3.3 |
| East 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 3,900 from Asakura Koshin | 15% | 42% | 20% | 23% | -9.4 | +2.4 | -5.3 | +12.2 |
| East 4 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 1,500 from Murakami Jun | 11% | 45% | 14% | 30% | +0.6 | -4.5 | -0.6 | +4.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,000 | 12% | 39% | 14% | 35% | -9.9 | -12.2 | -9.7 | +31.8 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 6,000 | 5% | 23% | 7% | 65% | -5.2 | -8.3 | -2.6 | +16.2 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Murakami Jun tsumo 4,000 | 3% | 11% | 4% | 82% | -3.3 | +14.1 | -4.3 | -6.5 |
| South 1 | Draw | 3% | 19% | 3% | 75% | +2.8 | -2.0 | -1.1 | +0.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Murakami Jun tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 17% | 3% | 77% | -11.1 | +30.1 | -4.9 | -14.2 |
| South 2 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 0% | 49% | 2% | 50% | +6.3 | -12.1 | -16.0 | +21.9 |
| South 3 | Murakami Jun ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 0% | 20% | 1% | 79% | +5.7 | +22.0 | -15.3 | -12.4 |
| South 4 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 7,700 from Murakami Jun | 0% | 53% | 0% | 47% | +0.2 | -27.3 | 0.0 | +27.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 16,000 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 96% | -23.3 | -5.3 | +36.1 | -7.4 |