Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
3/2 Game 1
Sho Shiratori finished 1st (+56.4pt). The game was decided in East 2: Sho Shiratori tsumo 8,000, which moved Sho Shiratori's expected points by +22.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sho Shiratori ron 5,200 from Aki Nikaido | 27% | 25% | 24% | 24% | -19.5 | +1.0 | +2.7 | +15.7 |
| East 2 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 8,000 | 14% | 26% | 26% | 35% | -3.1 | -12.9 | -6.2 | +22.2 |
| East 3 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 8,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 11% | 15% | 19% | 55% | +1.0 | +23.4 | -26.6 | +2.2 |
| East 4 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 2,700 | 10% | 27% | 6% | 57% | +9.6 | -2.5 | -1.5 | -5.6 |
| South 1 | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 12,000 | 14% | 27% | 7% | 52% | -19.1 | -9.6 | +31.5 | -2.8 |
| South 2 | Sho Shiratori ron 2,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 7% | 22% | 20% | 52% | -2.7 | -8.7 | -2.6 | +14.0 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 4% | 10% | 15% | 72% | -5.7 | +7.5 | -7.7 | +5.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 9% | 5% | 85% | -7.0 | -4.9 | +5.5 | +6.5 |