Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2019-20 Regular Season

3/2 Game 1

Shiratori Sho finished 1st (+56.4pt). The game was decided in East 2: Shiratori Sho tsumo 8,000, which moved Shiratori Sho's expected points by +24.0.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Shiratori Sho● Nikaido Aki● Kayamori Sayaka● Setokuma Naoki0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Shiratori● Nikaido● Kayamori● Setokuma
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultNikaido Aki
1st-place chance
Kayamori Sayaka
1st-place chance
Setokuma Naoki
1st-place chance
Shiratori Sho
1st-place chance
Nikaido Aki
Expected pt change
Kayamori Sayaka
Expected pt change
Setokuma Naoki
Expected pt change
Shiratori Sho
Expected pt change
East 1Shiratori Sho ron 5,200 from Nikaido Aki25%25%26%24%-16.2+0.9+0.5+14.8
East 2Shiratori Sho tsumo 8,00015%25%25%35%-3.4-13.3-7.3+24.0
East 3Kayamori Sayaka ron 8,000 from Setokuma Naoki11%14%19%56%-2.5+23.9-22.9+1.5
East 4Nikaido Aki tsumo 2,7009%26%7%59%+14.9-3.2-5.1-6.7
South 1Setokuma Naoki tsumo 12,00017%25%6%52%-22.3-9.6+34.4-2.5
South 2Shiratori Sho ron 2,000 from Kayamori Sayaka6%19%21%53%-2.8-6.8-5.3+14.9
South 3Draw3%9%14%74%-4.6+7.7-7.7+4.5
South 4, 1 honbaDraw1%9%5%85%-7.1-5.6+6.3+6.4

All 2019-20 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)