Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
3/2 Game 2
Sho Shiratori finished 1st (+51.1pt). The game was decided in South 4: Exhaustive draw, which moved Sho Shiratori's expected points by +35.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 4,000 | 24% | 24% | 26% | 26% | -6.8 | -3.1 | -2.7 | +12.5 |
| East 2 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 4,000 | 19% | 22% | 23% | 36% | -2.7 | -10.2 | +16.6 | -3.7 |
| East 3 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 8,000 | 18% | 15% | 35% | 33% | -4.6 | +23.4 | -12.4 | -6.5 |
| East 4 | Sho Shiratori ron 2,600 from Kazunori Takizawa | 16% | 31% | 25% | 28% | +10.7 | +1.5 | +1.4 | -13.6 |
| South 1 | Sho Shiratori ron 4,800 from Sayaka Kayamori | 23% | 32% | 26% | 19% | +19.8 | -4.7 | -14.9 | -0.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori ron 1,000 from Sho Shiratori | 38% | 28% | 17% | 17% | -8.5 | +2.8 | +6.4 | -0.7 |
| South 2 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 30% | 30% | 21% | 19% | -2.5 | -4.8 | -29.4 | +36.6 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 23% | 7% | 47% | +6.8 | +4.6 | +2.8 | -14.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 1,300 from Kazunori Takizawa | 31% | 27% | 8% | 33% | +4.4 | +16.5 | -9.7 | -11.2 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 33% | 47% | 1% | 19% | +35.0 | -15.9 | -3.4 | -15.7 |