Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
3/2 Game 2
Shiratori Sho finished 1st (+51.1pt). The game was decided in South 4: Draw, which moved Shiratori Sho's expected points by +35.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 4,000 | 25% | 26% | 25% | 24% | -6.4 | -5.4 | -3.8 | +15.6 |
| East 2 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 4,000 | 20% | 22% | 23% | 36% | -2.0 | -11.7 | +15.8 | -2.0 |
| East 3 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,000 | 19% | 14% | 34% | 34% | -5.9 | +25.0 | -12.2 | -7.0 |
| East 4 | Shiratori Sho ron 2,600 from Takizawa Kazunori | 16% | 31% | 25% | 29% | +11.2 | +0.9 | +0.9 | -12.9 |
| South 1 | Shiratori Sho ron 4,800 from Kayamori Sayaka | 22% | 32% | 26% | 20% | +17.9 | -3.8 | -14.7 | +0.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka ron 1,000 from Shiratori Sho | 36% | 28% | 16% | 20% | -7.0 | +1.5 | +6.9 | -1.4 |
| South 2 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 30% | 29% | 21% | 20% | -0.9 | -5.8 | -28.0 | +34.7 |
| South 3 | Draw | 25% | 20% | 8% | 47% | +4.5 | +8.1 | -0.5 | -12.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 1,300 from Takizawa Kazunori | 30% | 28% | 7% | 34% | +4.6 | +15.1 | -7.4 | -12.3 |
| South 4 | Draw | 32% | 47% | 1% | 20% | +35.8 | -15.8 | -3.8 | -16.1 |