Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
3/3 Game 1
Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+66.7pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Ooi Takaharu ron 16,000 from Asakura Koshin, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +41.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 6,000 | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | +14.9 | -4.0 | -4.2 | -6.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 36% | 22% | 20% | 22% | +0.2 | -3.8 | +3.6 | 0.0 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000 | 36% | 21% | 23% | 21% | +32.4 | -11.5 | -9.2 | -11.7 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Draw | 64% | 11% | 14% | 11% | +3.9 | +2.3 | -2.8 | -3.3 |
| East 1, 4 honba | Uotani Yuumi ron 3,900 from Sonoda Ken | 69% | 11% | 11% | 9% | -10.7 | +13.7 | -3.3 | +0.3 |
| East 2 | Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Asakura Koshin | 60% | 18% | 12% | 11% | +18.5 | -4.3 | +1.5 | -15.7 |
| East 3 | Draw | 79% | 9% | 8% | 4% | -3.0 | -2.0 | +5.7 | -0.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 76% | 9% | 11% | 4% | -5.4 | +4.1 | +3.0 | -1.7 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 4,000 | 70% | 12% | 13% | 5% | +1.1 | +13.7 | -8.1 | -6.7 |
| East 4 | Draw | 71% | 18% | 7% | 3% | -2.7 | -1.2 | -3.8 | +7.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 16,000 from Asakura Koshin | 69% | 19% | 7% | 5% | -4.6 | -5.8 | +41.4 | -31.0 |
| South 1 | Draw | 59% | 13% | 28% | 0% | +5.6 | -1.6 | -4.0 | 0.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 6,000 | 66% | 12% | 23% | 0% | +16.7 | -8.3 | -5.2 | -3.2 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,000 from Sonoda Ken | 83% | 5% | 11% | 0% | -6.7 | -0.6 | +7.0 | +0.3 |
| South 2 | Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 78% | 6% | 16% | 0% | -1.9 | -15.4 | +16.1 | +1.2 |
| South 3 | Uotani Yuumi ron 5,200 from Sonoda Ken | 72% | 0% | 28% | 0% | -9.2 | +5.8 | +4.0 | -0.6 |
| South 4 | Asakura Koshin ron 5,800 from Sonoda Ken | 61% | 0% | 39% | 0% | -21.1 | +0.4 | +14.8 | +5.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 1,000 from Asakura Koshin | 23% | 0% | 76% | 0% | -8.9 | +0.3 | +11.5 | -2.9 |