Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
3/3 Game 1
Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+66.7pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Takaharu Ooi ron 16,000 from Koshin Asakura, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +41.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 6,000 | 26% | 27% | 23% | 24% | +14.8 | -5.0 | -6.3 | -3.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 37% | 21% | 20% | 22% | +3.2 | -4.7 | +5.0 | -3.5 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 12,000 | 39% | 19% | 23% | 20% | +28.5 | -9.3 | -9.1 | -10.1 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 64% | 11% | 14% | 11% | +6.0 | +0.9 | -4.6 | -2.3 |
| East 1, 4 honba | Yuumi Uotani ron 3,900 from Ken Sonoda | 69% | 11% | 10% | 10% | -12.1 | +12.6 | +0.1 | -0.6 |
| East 2 | Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Koshin Asakura | 59% | 17% | 12% | 12% | +17.9 | -1.0 | -0.3 | -16.7 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 78% | 10% | 8% | 4% | -2.3 | -3.2 | +4.7 | +0.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 76% | 9% | 11% | 4% | -2.9 | +3.4 | +3.6 | -4.1 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 4,000 | 72% | 12% | 13% | 4% | -0.8 | +12.7 | -9.4 | -2.5 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 72% | 18% | 7% | 4% | -2.7 | -1.0 | -1.6 | +5.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 16,000 from Koshin Asakura | 70% | 18% | 7% | 5% | -4.7 | -5.8 | +41.0 | -30.5 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 58% | 14% | 28% | 0% | +4.2 | -0.3 | -3.1 | -0.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 6,000 | 63% | 12% | 24% | 1% | +17.5 | -7.7 | -7.5 | -2.3 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,000 from Ken Sonoda | 84% | 5% | 11% | 0% | -5.9 | -2.1 | +7.8 | +0.1 |
| South 2 | Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 79% | 5% | 16% | 0% | -3.0 | -15.3 | +17.9 | +0.4 |
| South 3 | Yuumi Uotani ron 5,200 from Ken Sonoda | 70% | 0% | 30% | 0% | -8.7 | +5.9 | +3.4 | -0.7 |
| South 4 | Koshin Asakura ron 5,800 from Ken Sonoda | 60% | 0% | 39% | 0% | -21.7 | +0.3 | +15.1 | +6.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 1,000 from Koshin Asakura | 22% | 0% | 78% | 0% | -8.2 | +0.3 | +11.0 | -3.1 |