Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
3/5 Game 2
Kenji Katsumata finished 1st (+82.3pt). The game was decided in East 2: Kenji Katsumata tsumo 16,000, which moved Kenji Katsumata's expected points by +43.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Makoto Sawazaki 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Yudai Maehara 1st-place chance | Makoto Sawazaki Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Yudai Maehara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yudai Maehara ron 2,600 from Masato Hagiwara | 24% | 26% | 25% | 25% | +0.9 | -10.0 | +0.4 | +8.8 |
| East 2 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 16,000 | 23% | 20% | 26% | 31% | -11.1 | -22.3 | +43.4 | -10.0 |
| East 3 | Kenji Katsumata ron 3,900 from Yudai Maehara | 13% | 7% | 63% | 18% | +0.7 | +1.2 | +8.4 | -10.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Yudai Maehara tsumo 8,000 | 10% | 5% | 72% | 12% | -5.4 | -6.9 | -8.4 | +20.6 |
| East 4 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 2,700 | 9% | 4% | 64% | 24% | -1.7 | +7.8 | -1.0 | -5.0 |
| South 1 | Kenji Katsumata ron 8,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 9% | 7% | 66% | 19% | -4.5 | -16.8 | +22.2 | -0.9 |
| South 2 | Kenji Katsumata ron 3,200 from Makoto Sawazaki | 1% | 2% | 89% | 8% | -4.8 | -3.9 | +6.6 | +2.1 |
| South 3 | Masato Hagiwara ron 12,000 from Makoto Sawazaki | 0% | 0% | 96% | 4% | -28.9 | +28.3 | -0.9 | +1.5 |
| South 4 | Kenji Katsumata ron 8,000 from Makoto Sawazaki | 0% | 0% | 97% | 3% | -9.9 | -0.8 | +10.6 | +0.1 |