Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
3/5 Game 2
Katsumata Kenji finished 1st (+82.3pt). The game was decided in East 2: Katsumata Kenji tsumo 16,000, which moved Katsumata Kenji's expected points by +43.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Maehara Yudai Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Maehara Yudai ron 2,600 from Hagiwara Masato | 27% | 26% | 23% | 24% | -0.4 | -9.6 | +2.1 | +8.0 |
| East 2 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 16,000 | 25% | 20% | 26% | 29% | -10.6 | -23.3 | +43.1 | -9.2 |
| East 3 | Katsumata Kenji ron 3,900 from Maehara Yudai | 13% | 7% | 63% | 17% | -0.5 | +0.9 | +8.5 | -8.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Maehara Yudai tsumo 8,000 | 12% | 5% | 71% | 12% | -6.2 | -5.1 | -8.0 | +19.2 |
| East 4 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 2,700 | 9% | 5% | 64% | 22% | -1.8 | +7.1 | -1.2 | -4.0 |
| South 1 | Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 9% | 6% | 64% | 20% | -3.1 | -17.3 | +22.5 | -2.1 |
| South 2 | Katsumata Kenji ron 3,200 from Sawazaki Makoto | 1% | 2% | 90% | 8% | -5.5 | -4.1 | +5.6 | +4.1 |
| South 3 | Hagiwara Masato ron 12,000 from Sawazaki Makoto | 0% | 0% | 95% | 5% | -29.6 | +28.5 | +0.3 | +0.8 |
| South 4 | Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Sawazaki Makoto | 0% | 0% | 97% | 3% | -9.9 | -0.4 | +10.7 | -0.4 |