Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
3/6 Game 1
Kobayashi Go finished 1st (+56.6pt). The game was decided in South 2, 3 honba: Kobayashi Go tsumo 7,800, which moved Kobayashi Go's expected points by +28.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 16,000 | 26% | 25% | 25% | 24% | -22.2 | -8.3 | -13.0 | +43.5 |
| East 2 | Draw | 10% | 16% | 14% | 59% | -2.6 | +4.0 | 0.0 | -1.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Hinata Aiko ron 5,200 from Setokuma Naoki | 9% | 20% | 14% | 57% | +1.1 | -4.3 | +16.9 | -13.7 |
| East 3 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 12,000 | 11% | 17% | 26% | 46% | -8.1 | -4.7 | -18.4 | +31.2 |
| East 4 | Draw | 5% | 9% | 8% | 79% | -2.5 | -1.8 | +1.7 | +2.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Hinata Aiko tsumo 12,000 | 3% | 8% | 8% | 81% | -8.4 | -11.0 | +33.6 | -14.2 |
| South 1 | Kobayashi Go ron 3,900 from Setokuma Naoki | 3% | 5% | 30% | 63% | -5.1 | +9.2 | +2.8 | -6.9 |
| South 2 | Draw | 1% | 8% | 35% | 56% | +0.8 | +1.5 | +6.7 | -9.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 1% | 9% | 46% | 44% | -2.8 | +10.1 | -3.4 | -3.9 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 3,000 | 1% | 16% | 43% | 41% | -3.4 | +10.8 | -4.3 | -3.1 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 7,800 | 1% | 22% | 39% | 38% | -3.5 | +28.3 | -13.3 | -11.5 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 8,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 0% | 51% | 24% | 25% | +14.6 | +7.4 | +3.4 | -25.5 |
| South 3 | Setokuma Naoki ron 1,300 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 1% | 67% | 23% | 9% | -5.6 | +5.8 | -2.4 | +2.2 |
| South 4 | Hinata Aiko ron 2,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 0% | 78% | 13% | 9% | -2.0 | +9.7 | +0.8 | -8.5 |