Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
3/6 Game 2
Hinata Aiko finished 1st (+68.4pt). The game was decided in East 1: Hinata Aiko ron 12,000 from Kurosawa Saki, which moved Hinata Aiko's expected points by +30.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hinata Aiko ron 12,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 24% | 25% | 26% | 26% | +30.1 | -1.8 | -28.8 | +0.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Hinata Aiko ron 5,800 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 46% | 21% | 11% | 22% | +14.3 | -11.2 | -0.5 | -2.6 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,000 | 60% | 13% | 8% | 19% | -9.7 | -7.4 | +21.7 | -4.6 |
| East 2 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 6,000 | 52% | 12% | 18% | 18% | -4.1 | +14.7 | -5.5 | -5.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 6,000 | 49% | 19% | 17% | 16% | -9.3 | +17.6 | -2.9 | -5.4 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Hinata Aiko ron 2,000 from Kobayashi Go | 39% | 31% | 15% | 15% | +9.8 | -2.4 | +0.2 | -7.6 |
| East 3 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 2,000 | 48% | 27% | 14% | 11% | +9.5 | -2.4 | -6.9 | -0.2 |
| East 4 | Draw | 60% | 22% | 8% | 10% | +5.7 | -1.8 | +4.5 | -8.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 3,900 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 67% | 19% | 9% | 5% | +2.6 | -14.2 | -1.1 | +12.7 |
| South 2 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 8,000 | 74% | 11% | 8% | 7% | +18.8 | -11.2 | -3.1 | -4.4 |
| South 3 | Draw | 94% | 0% | 3% | 2% | +0.7 | +6.3 | -8.3 | +1.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 97% | 0% | 0% | 2% | +0.4 | +16.0 | -16.9 | +0.5 |