Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
3/6 Game 2
Aiko Hinata finished 1st (+68.4pt). The game was decided in East 1: Aiko Hinata ron 12,000 from Saki Kurosawa, which moved Aiko Hinata's expected points by +30.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Aiko Hinata ron 12,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | +30.4 | +1.3 | -30.5 | -1.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Aiko Hinata ron 5,800 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 47% | 22% | 9% | 21% | +15.2 | -14.7 | +1.5 | -2.0 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 8,000 | 62% | 13% | 7% | 18% | -11.9 | -5.2 | +23.2 | -6.1 |
| East 2 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 6,000 | 52% | 13% | 19% | 17% | -4.3 | +14.2 | -6.6 | -3.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 6,000 | 47% | 21% | 16% | 16% | -7.6 | +17.1 | -3.2 | -6.3 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Aiko Hinata ron 2,000 from Go Kobayashi | 41% | 30% | 15% | 14% | +7.6 | -2.2 | -0.1 | -5.3 |
| East 3 | Aiko Hinata tsumo 2,000 | 47% | 28% | 15% | 10% | +9.9 | -1.4 | -6.2 | -2.4 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 57% | 24% | 9% | 10% | +8.0 | -4.1 | +2.9 | -6.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 3,900 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 70% | 18% | 8% | 4% | +1.3 | -14.3 | -0.9 | +14.0 |
| South 2 | Aiko Hinata tsumo 8,000 | 75% | 10% | 7% | 8% | +18.4 | -9.8 | -0.5 | -8.1 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 94% | 0% | 4% | 2% | +0.6 | +5.9 | -10.5 | +4.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 2,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 97% | 0% | 0% | 3% | +0.8 | +15.9 | -16.2 | -0.5 |