Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
3/9 Game 2
Wakutsu Akira finished 1st (+56.9pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Wakutsu Akira tsumo 12,000, which moved Wakutsu Akira's expected points by +31.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Wakutsu Akira 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Wakutsu Akira Expected pt change | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 1,500 | 26% | 25% | 26% | 23% | +3.3 | -0.5 | -0.9 | -1.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Wakutsu Akira tsumo 12,000 | 28% | 24% | 25% | 23% | -17.3 | +31.3 | -8.3 | -5.7 |
| East 2 | Draw | 16% | 49% | 18% | 17% | +6.2 | -1.6 | -3.2 | -1.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Wakutsu Akira ron 3,900 from Murakami Jun | 18% | 49% | 15% | 18% | -0.7 | +15.0 | -12.6 | -1.7 |
| East 4 | Draw | 14% | 64% | 8% | 13% | -0.2 | +3.5 | -1.7 | -1.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 3,200 from Wakutsu Akira | 13% | 71% | 6% | 10% | -2.9 | -4.8 | -0.4 | +8.2 |
| South 2 | Murakami Jun ron 2,600 from Katsumata Kenji | 9% | 68% | 8% | 15% | -12.8 | +2.9 | +7.3 | +2.6 |
| South 3 | Wakutsu Akira ron 2,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 3% | 75% | 9% | 13% | -3.3 | +9.6 | -3.3 | -2.9 |
| South 4 | Katsumata Kenji ron 2,600 from Wakutsu Akira | 1% | 91% | 1% | 8% | +29.2 | +1.6 | -18.1 | -12.7 |