Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
3/9 Game 2
Akira Wakutsu finished 1st (+56.9pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Akira Wakutsu tsumo 12,000, which moved Akira Wakutsu's expected points by +33.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Akira Wakutsu 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Akira Wakutsu Expected pt change | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 1,500 | 26% | 25% | 23% | 26% | +3.6 | -2.7 | +1.2 | -2.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Akira Wakutsu tsumo 12,000 | 29% | 23% | 24% | 24% | -18.6 | +33.3 | -7.7 | -6.9 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 14% | 50% | 18% | 19% | +8.6 | -1.1 | -3.5 | -4.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Akira Wakutsu ron 3,900 from Jun Murakami | 19% | 51% | 15% | 16% | -2.4 | +14.2 | -14.2 | +2.4 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 14% | 64% | 8% | 14% | -0.7 | +3.2 | +1.3 | -3.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 3,200 from Akira Wakutsu | 13% | 71% | 7% | 10% | -3.3 | -3.5 | -2.4 | +9.2 |
| South 2 | Jun Murakami ron 2,600 from Kenji Katsumata | 9% | 69% | 8% | 14% | -9.7 | +1.6 | +6.1 | +2.0 |
| South 3 | Akira Wakutsu ron 2,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 5% | 75% | 7% | 13% | -3.8 | +9.8 | -1.6 | -4.4 |
| South 4 | Kenji Katsumata ron 2,600 from Akira Wakutsu | 1% | 91% | 1% | 8% | +28.2 | +1.6 | -18.2 | -11.6 |