Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2019-20 Regular Season

9/30 Game 1

Yuumi Uotani finished 1st (+72.3pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Yuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori, which moved Yuumi Uotani's expected points by +30.2.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Yuumi Uotani● Masato Hagiwara● Go Kobayashi● Sho Shiratori0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Yuumi● Masato● Go● Sho
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultMasato Hagiwara
1st-place chance
Yuumi Uotani
1st-place chance
Go Kobayashi
1st-place chance
Sho Shiratori
1st-place chance
Masato Hagiwara
Expected pt change
Yuumi Uotani
Expected pt change
Go Kobayashi
Expected pt change
Sho Shiratori
Expected pt change
East 1Masato Hagiwara ron 7,700 from Yuumi Uotani25%27%24%24%+22.4-21.70.0-0.8
East 1, 1 honbaSho Shiratori tsumo 1,50041%14%23%23%-2.3-0.8-2.4+5.4
East 2Masato Hagiwara ron 2,000 from Sho Shiratori40%13%21%26%+7.5-4.8+1.1-3.8
East 3Yuumi Uotani tsumo 8,00047%10%21%23%-0.6+18.3-13.7-3.9
East 4Exhaustive draw49%17%13%21%-5.0-4.9+5.9+3.9
East 4, 1 honbaYuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori44%15%17%25%+2.0+30.2-2.5-29.7
South 1Yuumi Uotani tsumo 8,00043%35%14%8%-17.7+27.8-5.1-5.0
South 2Yuumi Uotani ron 12,000 from Sho Shiratori18%69%9%5%-4.3+22.8+2.5-20.9
South 2, 1 honbaGo Kobayashi tsumo 2,7005%90%4%1%-1.7-3.6+7.5-2.1
South 3Exhaustive draw3%90%6%0%-3.0+2.1+3.3-2.4
South 3, 1 honbaMasato Hagiwara ron 6,400 from Sho Shiratori2%92%6%0%+15.4+0.9-8.6-7.7
South 4Yuumi Uotani ron 2,600 from Go Kobayashi4%95%1%0%+0.8+5.4-4.6-1.6

All 2019-20 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)