Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
9/30 Game 2
Saki Kurosawa finished 1st (+61.3pt). The game was decided in East 3: Saki Kurosawa ron 18,000 from Takaharu Ooi, which moved Saki Kurosawa's expected points by +44.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Saki Kurosawa ron 8,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 27% | 24% | 25% | 24% | -5.0 | -2.9 | +25.2 | -17.3 |
| East 2 | Koshin Asakura tsumo 1,500 | 21% | 22% | 44% | 13% | +1.1 | +4.4 | -2.9 | -2.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000 | 23% | 25% | 40% | 12% | -9.7 | -11.7 | -3.9 | +25.4 |
| East 3 | Saki Kurosawa ron 18,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 17% | 18% | 38% | 27% | +1.6 | -1.9 | +44.3 | -43.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Koshin Asakura | 9% | 8% | 80% | 3% | -0.2 | -17.1 | -1.0 | +18.3 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 8% | 4% | 82% | 6% | -1.0 | -2.5 | -0.2 | +3.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 2,000 | 7% | 4% | 81% | 8% | -0.3 | -3.5 | +8.8 | -5.0 |
| South 1 | Koshin Asakura ron 5,200 from Sayaka Kayamori | 5% | 2% | 91% | 2% | -16.2 | +12.5 | +2.1 | +1.6 |
| South 2 | Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 0% | 2% | 95% | 2% | -4.0 | -10.5 | -9.5 | +24.0 |
| South 3 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 1% | 91% | 8% | +37.6 | -13.2 | -10.6 | -13.8 |
| South 4 | Saki Kurosawa ron 2,600 from Takaharu Ooi | 7% | 0% | 85% | 8% | +1.9 | -2.0 | +9.6 | -9.5 |