Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
9/30 Game 2
Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+61.3pt). The game was decided in East 3: Kurosawa Saki ron 18,000 from Ooi Takaharu, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +42.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 26% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -4.8 | -0.2 | +23.8 | -18.7 |
| East 2 | Asakura Koshin tsumo 1,500 | 20% | 23% | 42% | 15% | +1.0 | +1.6 | -1.1 | -1.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,000 | 20% | 24% | 42% | 14% | -8.7 | -11.6 | -3.1 | +23.4 |
| East 3 | Kurosawa Saki ron 18,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 16% | 18% | 40% | 27% | +1.8 | -0.6 | +42.1 | -43.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Asakura Koshin | 9% | 8% | 80% | 3% | +1.5 | -19.1 | +0.4 | +17.2 |
| East 4 | Draw | 8% | 4% | 83% | 6% | -2.4 | -1.5 | -1.3 | +5.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 2,000 | 7% | 3% | 82% | 8% | -0.1 | -3.9 | +9.1 | -5.1 |
| South 1 | Asakura Koshin ron 5,200 from Kayamori Sayaka | 5% | 2% | 91% | 2% | -15.7 | +12.8 | +2.1 | +0.8 |
| South 2 | Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 0% | 3% | 95% | 2% | -5.0 | -9.2 | -9.3 | +23.6 |
| South 3 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 1% | 92% | 7% | +38.1 | -14.2 | -11.1 | -12.8 |
| South 4 | Kurosawa Saki ron 2,600 from Ooi Takaharu | 7% | 0% | 85% | 8% | +2.0 | -1.9 | +9.6 | -9.7 |