Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
10/1 Game 1
Takamiya Mari finished 1st (+66.9pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Takamiya Mari ron 12,000 from Suzuki Taro, which moved Takamiya Mari's expected points by +33.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Taro ron 8,000 from Takamiya Mari | 25% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -23.0 | +24.0 | +0.5 | -1.5 |
| East 2 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 12,000 from Suzuki Taro | 11% | 43% | 23% | 23% | -1.5 | -36.0 | +34.7 | +2.8 |
| East 3 | Suzuki Taro ron 8,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 10% | 14% | 53% | 23% | -1.2 | +23.9 | +0.5 | -23.2 |
| East 4 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 4,000 | 8% | 28% | 53% | 11% | +10.7 | -1.8 | +1.0 | -9.8 |
| South 1 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 12,000 | 12% | 26% | 56% | 6% | +33.1 | -12.1 | -12.5 | -8.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 12,000 from Suzuki Taro | 35% | 19% | 41% | 5% | +33.6 | -29.5 | -5.8 | +1.7 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Suzuki Taro | 70% | 4% | 23% | 2% | -6.8 | -16.0 | +19.5 | +3.3 |
| South 2 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 8,000 | 56% | 1% | 41% | 2% | +0.3 | -13.0 | -4.0 | +16.7 |
| South 3 | Takamiya Mari ron 2,600 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 61% | 0% | 36% | 4% | +11.0 | -0.1 | -8.2 | -2.8 |
| South 4 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 2,000 | 80% | 0% | 17% | 3% | +10.5 | -0.7 | -6.0 | -3.9 |