Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
10/1 Game 1
Mari Takamiya finished 1st (+66.9pt). The game was decided in South 1: Mari Takamiya tsumo 12,000, which moved Mari Takamiya's expected points by +36.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Mari Takamiya | 24% | 25% | 26% | 25% | -22.9 | +23.6 | -2.2 | +1.5 |
| East 2 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 12,000 from Taro Suzuki | 11% | 42% | 23% | 24% | -0.5 | -37.2 | +37.3 | +0.4 |
| East 3 | Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 10% | 14% | 54% | 22% | +0.5 | +23.4 | +0.3 | -24.3 |
| East 4 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 4,000 | 8% | 26% | 55% | 11% | +8.1 | +1.0 | +0.1 | -9.2 |
| South 1 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 12,000 | 11% | 28% | 55% | 6% | +36.8 | -15.1 | -11.4 | -10.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Mari Takamiya ron 12,000 from Taro Suzuki | 37% | 18% | 42% | 3% | +30.4 | -28.5 | -6.8 | +4.9 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki | 69% | 3% | 25% | 3% | -5.2 | -16.6 | +19.0 | +2.9 |
| South 2 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 8,000 | 57% | 1% | 40% | 2% | -0.5 | -12.6 | -4.0 | +17.0 |
| South 3 | Mari Takamiya ron 2,600 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 60% | 0% | 35% | 5% | +12.3 | +0.3 | -8.4 | -4.2 |
| South 4 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 2,000 | 82% | 0% | 16% | 2% | +9.5 | -0.7 | -5.4 | -3.3 |