Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
10/1 Game 2
Kenji Katsumata finished 1st (+73.9pt). The game was decided in East 3: Kenji Katsumata tsumo 12,000, which moved Kenji Katsumata's expected points by +34.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Yudai Maehara 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Yudai Maehara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 26% | 24% | 25% | -4.2 | -2.4 | +8.2 | -1.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 1,000 from Yudai Maehara | 22% | 24% | 29% | 25% | +6.4 | -3.1 | +0.1 | -3.4 |
| East 3 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 12,000 | 27% | 21% | 29% | 23% | -12.6 | -10.4 | +34.8 | -11.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Yudai Maehara ron 2,000 from Sayaka Okada | 15% | 12% | 61% | 12% | -0.3 | -4.8 | -0.3 | +5.4 |
| East 4 | Sayaka Okada ron 3,200 from Ken Sonoda | 13% | 9% | 62% | 15% | -10.2 | +9.3 | +3.4 | -2.6 |
| South 1 | Sayaka Okada ron 2,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 9% | 12% | 68% | 11% | -2.8 | +2.6 | -0.7 | +0.9 |
| South 2 | Sayaka Okada tsumo 6,000 | 6% | 13% | 69% | 12% | -7.4 | +24.3 | -8.1 | -8.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Yudai Maehara tsumo 8,000 | 4% | 29% | 58% | 10% | -11.0 | -18.1 | -0.6 | +29.6 |
| South 3 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 15% | 59% | 25% | -4.0 | -10.0 | +28.1 | -14.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Yudai Maehara ron 3,900 from Ken Sonoda | 0% | 2% | 92% | 6% | -8.9 | -3.7 | -0.8 | +13.4 |
| South 4 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 93% | 7% | -2.7 | -4.1 | +11.3 | -4.5 |