Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
10/1 Game 2
Katsumata Kenji finished 1st (+73.9pt). The game was decided in East 3: Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000, which moved Katsumata Kenji's expected points by +32.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Maehara Yudai Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -6.4 | +0.5 | +8.7 | -2.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 1,000 from Maehara Yudai | 21% | 25% | 31% | 23% | +6.7 | -4.3 | +0.6 | -3.0 |
| East 3 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 21% | 32% | 22% | -12.6 | -10.7 | +32.0 | -8.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Win | 14% | 12% | 60% | 14% | +0.5 | -6.2 | +0.4 | +5.3 |
| East 4 | Okada Sayaka ron 3,200 from Sonoda Ken | 13% | 9% | 62% | 15% | -9.4 | +7.9 | +3.8 | -2.3 |
| South 1 | Okada Sayaka ron 2,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 9% | 11% | 69% | 12% | -4.7 | +5.8 | -1.0 | -0.2 |
| South 2 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 6,000 | 6% | 13% | 70% | 12% | -5.6 | +23.3 | -6.8 | -10.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Maehara Yudai tsumo 8,000 | 4% | 29% | 59% | 8% | -11.3 | -18.1 | -1.6 | +31.0 |
| South 3 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 14% | 60% | 24% | -5.2 | -8.3 | +27.1 | -13.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Maehara Yudai ron 3,900 from Sonoda Ken | 0% | 2% | 92% | 6% | -7.8 | -4.7 | -0.7 | +13.3 |
| South 4 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 93% | 7% | -2.6 | -4.4 | +11.5 | -4.5 |