Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
10/3 Game 1
Mizuhara Akina finished 1st (+61.9pt). The game was decided in South 3: Mizuhara Akina ron 8,000 from Sawazaki Makoto, which moved Mizuhara Akina's expected points by +22.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | +5.2 | -2.4 | -0.5 | -2.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 4,000 | 29% | 24% | 25% | 22% | -10.9 | -1.9 | -2.3 | +15.1 |
| East 2 | Draw | 22% | 23% | 22% | 34% | -2.2 | +2.4 | -3.4 | +3.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 5,200 from Setokuma Naoki | 20% | 24% | 20% | 36% | -12.2 | -1.5 | -1.9 | +15.6 |
| East 3 | Draw | 12% | 21% | 18% | 49% | -3.8 | -2.3 | -6.4 | +12.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 8,000 | 9% | 16% | 11% | 64% | -6.0 | -7.2 | +24.9 | -11.7 |
| South 1 | Mizuhara Akina ron 1,300 from Sawazaki Makoto | 8% | 13% | 26% | 52% | -8.4 | -0.2 | -2.3 | +10.9 |
| South 2 | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 4,000 | 2% | 11% | 20% | 66% | -5.3 | -10.2 | +15.5 | 0.0 |
| South 3 | Mizuhara Akina ron 8,000 from Sawazaki Makoto | 1% | 3% | 30% | 66% | -2.2 | +3.4 | -23.5 | +22.3 |
| South 4 | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | -5.4 | -2.5 | +11.1 | -3.2 |