Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
10/4 Game 1
Kondo Seiichi finished 1st (+53.2pt). The game was decided in South 1: Kondo Seiichi tsumo 18,000, which moved Kondo Seiichi's expected points by +49.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Taro ron 1,000 from Nikaido Aki | 25% | 26% | 25% | 25% | -2.2 | +1.1 | +1.1 | -0.1 |
| East 2 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 5,200 | 23% | 26% | 26% | 25% | -1.2 | -9.4 | -2.3 | +13.0 |
| East 3 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 6,000 | 22% | 20% | 24% | 34% | -8.3 | -5.8 | +20.1 | -6.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kondo Seiichi ron 5,200 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 17% | 15% | 39% | 29% | +13.2 | -14.7 | -0.2 | +1.7 |
| East 4 | Suzuki Taro ron 5,200 from Nikaido Aki | 23% | 9% | 38% | 30% | +1.2 | +0.5 | +20.0 | -21.6 |
| South 1 | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 18,000 | 21% | 8% | 59% | 12% | +49.0 | -12.6 | -22.5 | -13.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 70% | 3% | 22% | 5% | -0.7 | +4.6 | -2.7 | -1.1 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 2,900 from Suzuki Taro | 73% | 4% | 18% | 4% | +0.7 | +9.7 | -9.0 | -1.4 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Draw | 77% | 5% | 14% | 4% | -0.5 | +4.9 | -0.7 | -3.8 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 3,900 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 76% | 6% | 15% | 4% | +3.3 | -19.5 | +0.4 | +15.7 |
| South 3 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 2,700 | 83% | 1% | 11% | 6% | +3.6 | +6.2 | -7.3 | -2.6 |
| South 4 | Nikaido Aki ron 12,000 from Suzuki Taro | 93% | 0% | 1% | 6% | -2.7 | +8.0 | -42.4 | +37.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 8,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 85% | 0% | 0% | 14% | -2.4 | -17.0 | +24.9 | -5.6 |