Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
10/4 Game 2
Murakami Jun finished 1st (+57.6pt). The game was decided in South 3: Murakami Jun tsumo 18,000, which moved Murakami Jun's expected points by +46.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -4.3 | +7.2 | -1.6 | -1.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Hinata Aiko ron 1,000 from Murakami Jun | 22% | 30% | 23% | 25% | +9.3 | -4.2 | -4.8 | -0.3 |
| East 3 | Uotani Yuumi ron 8,000 from Murakami Jun | 28% | 25% | 21% | 26% | -2.1 | +27.9 | -24.8 | -1.0 |
| East 4 | Hinata Aiko ron 16,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 23% | 50% | 6% | 22% | +42.3 | -3.6 | +1.7 | -40.3 |
| South 1 | Katsumata Kenji ron 2,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 60% | 35% | 3% | 2% | -1.9 | -3.0 | 0.0 | +4.9 |
| South 2 | Draw | 62% | 31% | 4% | 3% | -1.1 | +3.8 | -1.9 | -0.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 1,100 | 59% | 34% | 4% | 3% | +2.3 | -4.2 | -2.4 | +4.2 |
| South 3 | Murakami Jun tsumo 18,000 | 65% | 29% | 4% | 3% | -14.9 | -16.1 | +46.6 | -15.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 50% | 22% | 26% | 2% | +11.3 | -26.4 | +3.2 | +11.9 |
| South 4 | Draw | 70% | 4% | 22% | 5% | -2.3 | -2.8 | -2.2 | +7.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Murakami Jun ron 8,000 from Hinata Aiko | 68% | 4% | 20% | 7% | -33.8 | +1.8 | +44.7 | -12.7 |