Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
10/4 Game 2
Jun Murakami finished 1st (+57.6pt). The game was decided in South 3: Jun Murakami tsumo 18,000, which moved Jun Murakami's expected points by +48.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -3.8 | +5.9 | -1.7 | -0.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Aiko Hinata ron 1,000 from Jun Murakami | 22% | 29% | 23% | 25% | +8.6 | -3.7 | -3.4 | -1.6 |
| East 3 | Yuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Jun Murakami | 28% | 25% | 21% | 25% | -1.1 | +28.0 | -26.5 | -0.4 |
| East 4 | Aiko Hinata ron 16,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 23% | 49% | 8% | 20% | +41.3 | -4.5 | +2.4 | -39.2 |
| South 1 | Kenji Katsumata ron 2,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 60% | 33% | 4% | 3% | +0.3 | -4.3 | -1.5 | +5.5 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 65% | 28% | 4% | 3% | -3.8 | +7.3 | -1.5 | -2.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 1,100 | 58% | 36% | 3% | 3% | +2.2 | -4.5 | -3.1 | +5.4 |
| South 3 | Jun Murakami tsumo 18,000 | 63% | 30% | 3% | 4% | -14.1 | -16.9 | +48.2 | -17.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 8,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 49% | 21% | 28% | 2% | +10.2 | -26.7 | +2.4 | +14.2 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 69% | 3% | 22% | 6% | -0.5 | -2.4 | -2.1 | +5.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Jun Murakami ron 8,000 from Aiko Hinata | 69% | 3% | 21% | 7% | -34.5 | +1.8 | +44.7 | -11.9 |