Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
10/7 Game 1
Akina Mizuhara finished 1st (+70.5pt). The game was decided in East 1: Akina Mizuhara tsumo 18,000, which moved Akina Mizuhara's expected points by +43.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Yudai Maehara 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Yudai Maehara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 18,000 | 25% | 27% | 24% | 25% | +43.7 | -15.4 | -14.8 | -13.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Yudai Maehara ron 2,600 from Sayaka Okada | 61% | 13% | 11% | 14% | +0.4 | -6.1 | +0.9 | +4.7 |
| East 2 | Sayaka Okada ron 12,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 62% | 11% | 13% | 14% | -30.3 | +27.8 | +0.2 | +2.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido ron 1,000 from Sayaka Okada | 33% | 30% | 16% | 21% | +2.1 | -3.9 | +3.9 | -2.0 |
| East 3 | Yudai Maehara tsumo 2,000 | 37% | 26% | 18% | 19% | +1.2 | +0.4 | -9.5 | +7.9 |
| East 4 | Akina Mizuhara ron 3,900 from Yudai Maehara | 38% | 26% | 12% | 25% | +17.6 | -1.9 | -0.2 | -15.5 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 56% | 22% | 11% | 11% | -3.6 | +9.4 | -2.9 | -2.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 53% | 28% | 9% | 10% | +1.4 | -5.9 | -5.6 | +10.0 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Aki Nikaido tsumo 1,500 | 56% | 21% | 8% | 15% | -0.6 | -3.8 | +6.4 | -2.0 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Akina Mizuhara ron 12,000 from Aki Nikaido | 57% | 18% | 10% | 15% | +32.2 | 0.0 | -31.5 | -0.7 |
| South 4 | Akina Mizuhara ron 3,900 from Aki Nikaido | 95% | 1% | 0% | 5% | +6.4 | +4.7 | -3.9 | -7.2 |