Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
10/7 Game 1
Mizuhara Akina finished 1st (+70.5pt). The game was decided in East 1: Mizuhara Akina tsumo 18,000, which moved Mizuhara Akina's expected points by +42.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Maehara Yudai Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 18,000 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | +42.4 | -13.9 | -14.7 | -13.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Maehara Yudai ron 2,600 from Okada Sayaka | 60% | 13% | 14% | 13% | +1.9 | -8.3 | +0.5 | +5.9 |
| East 2 | Okada Sayaka ron 12,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 63% | 9% | 13% | 14% | -31.8 | +30.8 | -0.6 | +1.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 1,000 from Okada Sayaka | 33% | 31% | 16% | 20% | +2.8 | -6.0 | +1.1 | +2.0 |
| East 3 | Maehara Yudai tsumo 2,000 | 36% | 26% | 16% | 22% | +1.6 | 0.0 | -5.1 | +3.5 |
| East 4 | Mizuhara Akina ron 3,900 from Maehara Yudai | 39% | 25% | 13% | 23% | +15.9 | +1.4 | -3.2 | -14.1 |
| South 1 | Draw | 55% | 23% | 10% | 12% | -2.0 | +5.5 | -1.8 | -1.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 52% | 26% | 10% | 12% | +1.7 | -3.6 | -6.9 | +8.7 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 1,500 | 56% | 21% | 8% | 15% | -2.2 | -0.9 | +8.2 | -5.1 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 12,000 from Nikaido Aki | 55% | 21% | 10% | 13% | +33.9 | -2.7 | -32.4 | +1.1 |
| South 4 | Mizuhara Akina ron 3,900 from Nikaido Aki | 95% | 1% | 0% | 4% | +6.0 | +4.3 | -4.1 | -6.2 |