Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
10/7 Game 2
Takizawa Kazunori finished 1st (+60.7pt). The game was decided in East 3: Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 24,000, which moved Takizawa Kazunori's expected points by +60.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 24% | 26% | 24% | 26% | +4.6 | +4.1 | -3.3 | -5.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 27% | 28% | 22% | 22% | -0.2 | -3.6 | +5.3 | -1.5 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Draw | 28% | 25% | 26% | 21% | +6.4 | -1.5 | -3.1 | -1.7 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 1,600 from Takamiya Mari | 32% | 25% | 23% | 21% | -10.8 | -3.3 | +1.4 | +12.7 |
| East 2 | Okada Sayaka ron 8,000 from Asakura Koshin | 24% | 23% | 25% | 28% | +0.1 | -22.4 | -1.2 | +23.5 |
| East 3 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 24,000 | 22% | 9% | 21% | 48% | -20.8 | -13.7 | +60.4 | -25.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari tsumo 12,000 | 7% | 3% | 75% | 15% | +29.1 | -9.1 | -14.5 | -5.5 |
| East 4 | Draw | 21% | 2% | 59% | 17% | -0.4 | -0.5 | -2.6 | +3.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 22% | 3% | 57% | 19% | -1.9 | -0.3 | +6.6 | -4.4 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 12,000 from Takamiya Mari | 18% | 3% | 66% | 14% | -33.5 | -2.3 | -1.5 | +37.3 |
| South 2 | Draw | 1% | 1% | 59% | 39% | -1.7 | +4.5 | -1.8 | -1.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari tsumo 16,000 | 1% | 2% | 57% | 39% | +39.0 | -16.6 | -8.4 | -14.0 |
| South 3 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 2,900 from Takamiya Mari | 21% | 0% | 50% | 29% | -9.5 | -0.1 | +9.6 | +0.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 8,000 from Asakura Koshin | 10% | 0% | 64% | 26% | -8.8 | -7.7 | -10.7 | +27.1 |
| South 4 | Asakura Koshin ron 5,200 from Okada Sayaka | 2% | 0% | 39% | 59% | -2.4 | +5.3 | +26.1 | -29.0 |