Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
10/7 Game 2
Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+60.7pt). The game was decided in East 3: Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 24,000, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +61.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 26% | 26% | 23% | +2.1 | +2.9 | -4.1 | -0.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 27% | 27% | 23% | 23% | +2.7 | -2.9 | +4.0 | -3.7 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 28% | 26% | 25% | 21% | +4.8 | -1.5 | -0.4 | -2.9 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Sayaka Okada ron 1,600 from Mari Takamiya | 32% | 24% | 25% | 20% | -9.1 | -2.3 | -3.0 | +14.4 |
| East 2 | Sayaka Okada ron 8,000 from Koshin Asakura | 25% | 24% | 22% | 29% | -0.4 | -22.7 | +0.8 | +22.3 |
| East 3 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 24,000 | 21% | 10% | 22% | 47% | -22.6 | -14.3 | +61.0 | -24.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Mari Takamiya tsumo 12,000 | 5% | 3% | 76% | 16% | +33.7 | -8.0 | -16.3 | -9.4 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 23% | 3% | 59% | 15% | -3.1 | -2.1 | -2.0 | +7.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 2% | 57% | 19% | -1.2 | -1.2 | +7.9 | -5.4 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Sayaka Okada ron 12,000 from Mari Takamiya | 19% | 2% | 68% | 12% | -34.3 | -0.7 | -2.7 | +37.7 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 1% | 58% | 39% | -1.5 | +3.9 | -1.0 | -1.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Mari Takamiya tsumo 16,000 | 2% | 2% | 58% | 39% | +39.0 | -16.1 | -8.7 | -14.2 |
| South 3 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 2,900 from Mari Takamiya | 20% | 0% | 52% | 28% | -10.0 | +0.4 | +8.5 | +1.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sayaka Okada ron 8,000 from Koshin Asakura | 11% | 0% | 63% | 26% | -8.5 | -8.0 | -9.6 | +26.1 |
| South 4 | Koshin Asakura ron 5,200 from Sayaka Okada | 3% | 0% | 40% | 57% | -2.7 | +5.5 | +25.7 | -28.6 |