Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
10/8 Game 1
Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+72.9pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Ooi Takaharu tsumo 18,000, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +41.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Wakutsu Akira 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Wakutsu Akira Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 3,000 | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | +9.2 | -3.4 | -3.5 | -2.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 18,000 | 30% | 23% | 22% | 25% | +41.3 | -13.2 | -13.1 | -15.0 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 7,800 | 66% | 12% | 11% | 11% | +17.7 | -9.1 | -5.1 | -3.5 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 2,600 from Murakami Jun | 81% | 5% | 7% | 7% | -0.5 | -8.9 | -2.4 | +11.8 |
| East 2 | Hagiwara Masato ron 12,000 from Wakutsu Akira | 82% | 4% | 5% | 9% | -0.2 | -0.9 | -24.6 | +25.8 |
| East 3 | Murakami Jun ron 12,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 79% | 2% | 2% | 17% | +3.5 | +24.1 | -3.3 | -24.2 |
| East 4 | Hagiwara Masato ron 5,800 from Wakutsu Akira | 87% | 4% | 1% | 7% | -1.3 | -0.3 | -9.5 | +11.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Wakutsu Akira tsumo 12,000 | 84% | 5% | 1% | 10% | 0.0 | -5.2 | +21.3 | -16.0 |
| South 1 | Draw | 90% | 4% | 1% | 4% | -0.5 | -0.1 | -0.3 | +0.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 92% | 3% | 1% | 4% | -2.3 | +0.3 | -2.9 | +4.9 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 2,000 | 90% | 4% | 1% | 5% | -0.5 | -5.1 | -3.4 | +9.1 |
| South 3 | Murakami Jun tsumo 8,000 | 92% | 0% | 1% | 6% | 0.0 | +22.6 | -11.7 | -10.9 |
| South 4 | Hagiwara Masato ron 12,000 from Wakutsu Akira | 95% | 1% | 0% | 4% | -3.4 | -13.0 | -12.2 | +28.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 5,200 from Hagiwara Masato | 87% | 1% | 0% | 12% | +10.8 | -1.3 | +0.4 | -9.9 |