Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
10/8 Game 1
Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+72.9pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Takaharu Ooi tsumo 18,000, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +42.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Akira Wakutsu 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Akira Wakutsu Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 3,000 | 24% | 25% | 25% | 25% | +9.0 | -2.0 | -2.2 | -4.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 18,000 | 31% | 23% | 24% | 23% | +42.5 | -13.4 | -16.3 | -12.9 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 7,800 | 67% | 12% | 10% | 11% | +16.3 | -8.9 | -2.7 | -4.7 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Masato Hagiwara ron 2,600 from Jun Murakami | 82% | 6% | 6% | 7% | -0.8 | -8.3 | -3.4 | +12.6 |
| East 2 | Masato Hagiwara ron 12,000 from Akira Wakutsu | 82% | 4% | 6% | 9% | +0.3 | -1.0 | -24.6 | +25.3 |
| East 3 | Jun Murakami ron 12,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 80% | 2% | 2% | 17% | +3.4 | +24.4 | -3.6 | -24.2 |
| East 4 | Masato Hagiwara ron 5,800 from Akira Wakutsu | 87% | 5% | 1% | 7% | -1.0 | -0.7 | -9.0 | +10.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Akira Wakutsu tsumo 12,000 | 86% | 5% | 1% | 9% | -0.7 | -5.0 | +20.2 | -14.5 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 90% | 4% | 2% | 5% | -0.4 | -1.6 | +0.3 | +1.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 91% | 3% | 1% | 4% | -2.2 | +3.0 | -4.2 | +3.5 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 2,000 | 89% | 4% | 1% | 5% | +0.4 | -7.9 | -2.8 | +10.3 |
| South 3 | Jun Murakami tsumo 8,000 | 93% | 0% | 1% | 6% | -1.5 | +23.4 | -11.1 | -10.7 |
| South 4 | Masato Hagiwara ron 12,000 from Akira Wakutsu | 94% | 0% | 0% | 5% | -3.5 | -12.3 | -12.5 | +28.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 5,200 from Masato Hagiwara | 86% | 1% | 0% | 14% | +11.4 | -1.8 | +0.9 | -10.5 |