Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
10/10 Game 1
Katsumata Kenji finished 1st (+73.0pt). The game was decided in South 3: Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000, which moved Katsumata Kenji's expected points by +40.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 12,000 | 27% | 25% | 24% | 24% | -19.4 | -6.8 | -5.5 | +31.7 |
| East 2 | Katsumata Kenji ron 7,700 from Suzuki Taro | 14% | 19% | 19% | 48% | -17.9 | +17.9 | -1.7 | +1.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 6% | 28% | 17% | 49% | +2.9 | +4.4 | -3.3 | -4.1 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 5,800 from Suzuki Taro | 7% | 33% | 15% | 45% | -12.6 | +16.7 | -0.2 | -3.9 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Draw | 4% | 45% | 13% | 37% | -1.8 | +5.4 | -3.5 | -0.1 |
| East 2, 4 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 3,900 | 2% | 50% | 11% | 37% | -3.1 | +11.4 | -2.4 | -5.9 |
| East 2, 5 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 2,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 2% | 62% | 10% | 27% | -1.3 | -6.3 | +8.5 | -1.0 |
| East 3 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 57% | 13% | 28% | +17.4 | -0.7 | -15.5 | -1.2 |
| East 4 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 12,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 5% | 60% | 7% | 28% | +2.8 | -8.4 | -24.9 | +30.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 3% | 39% | 1% | 57% | -0.4 | -2.0 | -1.4 | +3.8 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 2,900 from Suzuki Taro | 3% | 35% | 1% | 60% | -8.7 | -3.1 | +1.8 | +9.9 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 8,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 1% | 27% | 1% | 71% | +17.6 | -0.2 | -16.1 | -1.3 |
| South 1 | Draw | 3% | 26% | 0% | 71% | +1.8 | -1.2 | +0.6 | -1.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 4% | 26% | 0% | 70% | -4.8 | -0.6 | +3.6 | +1.8 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 1,100 | 1% | 24% | 0% | 75% | +4.4 | -6.2 | -1.2 | +2.9 |
| South 3 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 15% | 0% | 84% | -2.7 | +40.2 | -10.4 | -27.1 |
| South 4 | Katsumata Kenji ron 2,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 0% | 77% | 0% | 23% | +0.1 | +12.5 | +0.6 | -13.2 |