Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2019-20 Regular Season

10/10 Game 2

Shiratori Sho finished 1st (+59.8pt). The game was decided in South 2, 2 honba: Shiratori Sho ron 5,200 from Kobayashi Go, which moved Shiratori Sho's expected points by +29.4.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Shiratori Sho● Kobayashi Go● Sonoda Ken● Takizawa Kazunori0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Shiratori● Kobayashi● Sonoda● Takizawa
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultKobayashi Go
1st-place chance
Sonoda Ken
1st-place chance
Shiratori Sho
1st-place chance
Takizawa Kazunori
1st-place chance
Kobayashi Go
Expected pt change
Sonoda Ken
Expected pt change
Shiratori Sho
Expected pt change
Takizawa Kazunori
Expected pt change
East 1Shiratori Sho ron 2,000 from Kobayashi Go27%25%25%23%-10.4+1.2+6.6+2.5
East 2Shiratori Sho tsumo 4,00020%25%29%25%-1.3-8.9+10.7-0.5
East 3Draw19%19%37%25%-1.3+0.7+1.3-0.6
East 4, 1 honbaSonoda Ken ron 5,200 from Takizawa Kazunori17%19%39%25%+2.0+17.8-0.3-19.6
South 1Kobayashi Go ron 2,000 from Sonoda Ken19%31%38%13%+4.4-6.9+2.6-0.1
South 1, 1 honbaDraw21%26%40%13%-4.0+9.6-2.0-3.6
South 2, 2 honbaShiratori Sho ron 5,200 from Kobayashi Go17%34%39%11%-20.0-5.1+29.4-4.3
South 3Sonoda Ken ron 3,900 from Takizawa Kazunori3%17%75%5%+0.8+12.3-1.0-12.1
South 4Shiratori Sho ron 2,000 from Sonoda Ken0%22%74%3%+3.9-9.1+13.2-8.0

All 2019-20 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)