Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
10/10 Game 2
Sho Shiratori finished 1st (+59.8pt). The game was decided in South 2, 2 honba: Sho Shiratori ron 5,200 from Go Kobayashi, which moved Sho Shiratori's expected points by +29.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sho Shiratori ron 2,000 from Go Kobayashi | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -7.5 | +1.3 | +6.0 | +0.2 |
| East 2 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 4,000 | 20% | 25% | 29% | 26% | -2.4 | -5.8 | +10.6 | -2.4 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 18% | 19% | 37% | 25% | +0.8 | -2.7 | +1.8 | +0.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 5,200 from Kazunori Takizawa | 19% | 17% | 40% | 24% | +0.3 | +19.0 | +0.1 | -19.4 |
| South 1 | Go Kobayashi ron 2,000 from Ken Sonoda | 19% | 29% | 41% | 12% | +6.7 | -4.5 | -2.6 | +0.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 23% | 28% | 37% | 12% | -5.8 | +7.2 | +1.4 | -2.7 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 5,200 from Go Kobayashi | 18% | 33% | 38% | 12% | -20.7 | -4.7 | +29.8 | -4.4 |
| South 3 | Ken Sonoda ron 3,900 from Kazunori Takizawa | 3% | 16% | 75% | 6% | +1.7 | +13.5 | -1.3 | -13.8 |
| South 4 | Sho Shiratori ron 2,000 from Ken Sonoda | 0% | 24% | 74% | 3% | +3.7 | -9.7 | +13.6 | -7.6 |