Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
10/11 Game 1
Kondo Seiichi finished 1st (+76.2pt). The game was decided in East 4: Kondo Seiichi tsumo 32,000, which moved Kondo Seiichi's expected points by +72.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Fujisaki Satoshi 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Fujisaki Satoshi Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 4,000 | 24% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -7.0 | +11.2 | -2.5 | -1.6 |
| East 2 | Draw | 20% | 33% | 23% | 25% | -1.7 | +5.5 | -1.1 | -2.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 2,000 | 19% | 36% | 22% | 23% | +12.5 | -6.7 | -3.3 | -2.5 |
| East 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 2,700 | 27% | 32% | 20% | 21% | -0.4 | -1.1 | -7.0 | +8.4 |
| East 4 | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 32,000 | 27% | 31% | 15% | 28% | +72.0 | -19.1 | -13.2 | -39.7 |
| South 1 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 5,200 from Kondo Seiichi | 94% | 3% | 2% | 1% | -7.0 | -0.1 | -2.4 | +9.5 |
| South 2 | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 8,000 | 93% | 4% | 2% | 2% | +10.9 | -8.0 | -2.1 | -0.7 |
| South 3 | Fujisaki Satoshi tsumo 7,800 | 98% | 0% | 1% | 1% | -2.8 | -9.7 | +21.9 | -9.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 12,000 | 98% | 0% | 2% | 1% | -2.0 | +31.8 | -20.2 | -9.6 |
| South 4 | Draw | 99% | 0% | 0% | 0% | +1.7 | +4.2 | +2.2 | -8.0 |