Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
10/11 Game 1
Seiichi Kondo finished 1st (+76.2pt). The game was decided in East 4: Seiichi Kondo tsumo 32,000, which moved Seiichi Kondo's expected points by +72.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Satoshi Fujisaki 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Satoshi Fujisaki Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 4,000 | 27% | 24% | 25% | 24% | -6.9 | +9.4 | -1.9 | -0.6 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 21% | 32% | 23% | 24% | -1.9 | +5.5 | -1.6 | -2.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 2,000 | 19% | 36% | 22% | 24% | +11.8 | -7.0 | -3.0 | -1.8 |
| East 3 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 2,700 | 27% | 31% | 21% | 21% | -1.3 | 0.0 | -6.1 | +7.4 |
| East 4 | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 32,000 | 27% | 31% | 15% | 27% | +72.4 | -19.2 | -15.0 | -38.2 |
| South 1 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 5,200 from Seiichi Kondo | 94% | 3% | 2% | 1% | -6.3 | -0.1 | -4.1 | +10.5 |
| South 2 | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 8,000 | 93% | 3% | 2% | 2% | +10.5 | -6.6 | -2.1 | -1.8 |
| South 3 | Satoshi Fujisaki tsumo 7,800 | 99% | 0% | 1% | 1% | -2.7 | -11.5 | +23.6 | -9.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 12,000 | 98% | 0% | 2% | 0% | -2.1 | +32.2 | -20.0 | -10.1 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 99% | 0% | 0% | 1% | +1.6 | +4.2 | +2.2 | -8.0 |