Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
10/11 Game 2
Sawazaki Makoto finished 1st (+59.1pt). The game was decided in South 4: Sawazaki Makoto ron 5,200 from Kurosawa Saki, which moved Sawazaki Makoto's expected points by +34.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -16.6 | -6.8 | +31.0 | -7.6 |
| East 2 | Sawazaki Makoto ron 7,700 from Takamiya Mari | 13% | 19% | 50% | 19% | -20.1 | +19.9 | -0.1 | +0.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 6% | 30% | 47% | 18% | -1.0 | -3.0 | +7.3 | -3.3 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Sawazaki Makoto ron 6,400 from Kayamori Sayaka | 5% | 26% | 55% | 15% | -1.4 | +16.9 | -2.4 | -13.1 |
| East 4 | Sawazaki Makoto ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 3% | 38% | 50% | 9% | +0.6 | +26.7 | -21.5 | -5.8 |
| South 1 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 3% | 72% | 21% | 4% | -16.7 | -4.0 | -10.5 | +31.2 |
| South 2 | Draw | 0% | 71% | 15% | 14% | -2.2 | +2.4 | +3.6 | -3.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Sawazaki Makoto | 0% | 73% | 16% | 11% | -0.2 | -28.1 | +30.6 | -2.3 |
| South 3 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 34% | 54% | 12% | +8.7 | +1.3 | -5.5 | -4.5 |
| South 4 | Sawazaki Makoto ron 5,200 from Kurosawa Saki | 0% | 36% | 52% | 12% | -1.1 | +34.3 | -23.8 | -9.3 |