Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
10/14 Game 1
Okada Sayaka finished 1st (+63.7pt). The game was decided in South 1, 2 honba: Okada Sayaka ron 8,000 from Nikaido Aki, which moved Okada Sayaka's expected points by +32.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 4,000 | 26% | 26% | 23% | 26% | -5.8 | -2.6 | +14.9 | -6.5 |
| East 2 | Sonoda Ken ron 2,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 20% | 23% | 35% | 22% | -6.1 | -2.8 | +8.3 | +0.6 |
| East 3 | Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 17% | 22% | 40% | 21% | -20.2 | +24.4 | -4.6 | +0.4 |
| East 4 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 7,800 | 8% | 38% | 34% | 21% | -4.6 | -8.9 | -6.8 | +20.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 7% | 30% | 28% | 35% | -3.2 | +6.6 | -1.0 | -2.3 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 8,000 from Nikaido Aki | 5% | 36% | 28% | 32% | -5.7 | -26.8 | -0.2 | +32.8 |
| South 2 | Draw | 1% | 10% | 19% | 70% | +0.1 | -6.5 | +7.8 | -1.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 5% | 24% | 70% | -6.0 | +29.1 | -24.6 | +1.4 |
| South 4 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 17% | 6% | 77% | -3.8 | -11.0 | -6.7 | +21.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 1% | 0% | 99% | +7.7 | +2.0 | -4.9 | -4.8 |