Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
10/14 Game 2
Nikaido Aki finished 1st (+58.8pt). The game was decided in South 2: Nikaido Aki ron 3,900 from Sawazaki Makoto, which moved Nikaido Aki's expected points by +20.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hagiwara Masato ron 3,900 from Nikaido Aki | 26% | 26% | 25% | 23% | +8.0 | -0.1 | -1.1 | -6.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 5,200 | 31% | 24% | 24% | 20% | -8.9 | -2.0 | -5.9 | +16.8 |
| East 2 | Nikaido Aki ron 3,900 from Hagiwara Masato | 24% | 24% | 22% | 30% | -11.8 | -3.6 | +0.6 | +14.8 |
| East 3 | Nikaido Aki ron 1,300 from Hagiwara Masato | 16% | 20% | 21% | 43% | -3.6 | +0.7 | -2.6 | +5.5 |
| East 4 | Hagiwara Masato ron 5,200 from Murakami Jun | 14% | 20% | 18% | 48% | +16.7 | -0.1 | -15.4 | -1.3 |
| South 1 | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 8,000 | 23% | 18% | 10% | 48% | -16.3 | +25.6 | -7.1 | -2.2 |
| South 2 | Nikaido Aki ron 3,900 from Sawazaki Makoto | 11% | 37% | 8% | 44% | -0.9 | -17.5 | -1.6 | +20.1 |
| South 3 | Nikaido Aki ron 2,600 from Sawazaki Makoto | 7% | 15% | 6% | 73% | +0.9 | -6.5 | -7.3 | +12.9 |
| South 4 | Draw | 2% | 4% | 1% | 94% | -5.6 | +9.2 | -4.4 | +0.8 |