Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
10/14 Game 2
Aki Nikaido finished 1st (+58.8pt). The game was decided in South 2: Aki Nikaido ron 3,900 from Makoto Sawazaki, which moved Aki Nikaido's expected points by +20.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Makoto Sawazaki 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Makoto Sawazaki Expected pt change | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Masato Hagiwara ron 3,900 from Aki Nikaido | 25% | 24% | 26% | 24% | +8.8 | +0.2 | -2.0 | -7.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido tsumo 5,200 | 32% | 25% | 23% | 20% | -9.0 | -4.2 | -1.5 | +14.8 |
| East 2 | Aki Nikaido ron 3,900 from Masato Hagiwara | 25% | 22% | 23% | 30% | -12.9 | -1.1 | -1.3 | +15.3 |
| East 3 | Aki Nikaido ron 1,300 from Masato Hagiwara | 17% | 20% | 22% | 41% | -1.7 | +0.6 | -5.6 | +6.7 |
| East 4 | Masato Hagiwara ron 5,200 from Jun Murakami | 15% | 20% | 16% | 50% | +13.7 | -0.6 | -13.0 | -0.1 |
| South 1 | Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 8,000 | 21% | 19% | 10% | 49% | -15.8 | +27.8 | -8.4 | -3.6 |
| South 2 | Aki Nikaido ron 3,900 from Makoto Sawazaki | 10% | 40% | 6% | 44% | +0.7 | -19.8 | -1.3 | +20.3 |
| South 3 | Aki Nikaido ron 2,600 from Makoto Sawazaki | 6% | 15% | 6% | 73% | +0.7 | -6.0 | -7.1 | +12.4 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 3% | 1% | 94% | -5.8 | +9.2 | -3.9 | +0.5 |