Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
10/15 Game 1
Mari Takamiya finished 1st (+58.4pt). The game was decided in East 3: Mari Takamiya tsumo 8,000, which moved Mari Takamiya's expected points by +27.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Nobuhiro Ishibashi 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Nobuhiro Ishibashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 3,900 from Mari Takamiya | 27% | 24% | 24% | 25% | -15.7 | +12.7 | +1.1 | +1.8 |
| East 2 | Mari Takamiya ron 1,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 17% | 33% | 25% | 25% | +4.9 | -3.2 | -1.0 | -0.7 |
| East 3 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 8,000 | 19% | 31% | 25% | 25% | +27.1 | -4.9 | -14.0 | -8.1 |
| East 4 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 2,000 | 39% | 25% | 15% | 20% | +8.6 | -0.1 | -2.5 | -6.1 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 47% | 25% | 14% | 15% | -3.2 | -3.6 | +1.2 | +5.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Mari Takamiya ron 2,600 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 46% | 23% | 14% | 18% | +17.3 | -3.8 | -1.8 | -11.8 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 69% | 11% | 10% | 9% | +2.8 | -8.8 | -0.5 | +6.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 8,000 | 73% | 7% | 9% | 12% | -0.5 | -10.3 | -20.5 | +31.4 |
| South 4 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 4,000 | 74% | 2% | 0% | 24% | +15.1 | +1.5 | -5.8 | -10.9 |