Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
10/15 Game 1
Takamiya Mari finished 1st (+58.4pt). The game was decided in East 3: Takamiya Mari tsumo 8,000, which moved Takamiya Mari's expected points by +29.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 3,900 from Takamiya Mari | 24% | 24% | 25% | 27% | -11.3 | +9.2 | +3.3 | -1.2 |
| East 2 | Takamiya Mari ron 1,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 16% | 31% | 28% | 25% | +3.4 | +0.1 | -4.7 | +1.1 |
| East 3 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 8,000 | 19% | 31% | 23% | 27% | +29.0 | -4.6 | -14.1 | -10.2 |
| East 4 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 2,000 | 41% | 26% | 15% | 19% | +7.1 | -0.9 | -2.5 | -3.6 |
| South 1 | Draw | 48% | 24% | 12% | 16% | -4.9 | -3.5 | +2.4 | +5.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 2,600 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 44% | 24% | 14% | 19% | +19.5 | -2.8 | -4.0 | -12.7 |
| South 3 | Draw | 71% | 12% | 8% | 9% | +1.2 | -9.4 | +1.7 | +6.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 8,000 | 71% | 8% | 10% | 12% | +1.0 | -9.7 | -21.1 | +29.8 |
| South 4 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 4,000 | 76% | 2% | 1% | 21% | +14.1 | +0.9 | -5.6 | -9.4 |