Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
10/15 Game 2
Sho Shiratori finished 1st (+71.6pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Sho Shiratori tsumo 8,000, which moved Sho Shiratori's expected points by +29.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Satoshi Fujisaki 1st-place chance | Akira Wakutsu 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Satoshi Fujisaki Expected pt change | Akira Wakutsu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sho Shiratori ron 12,000 from Akira Wakutsu | 26% | 25% | 24% | 24% | +27.3 | -1.0 | +0.2 | -26.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Satoshi Fujisaki ron 3,900 from Sho Shiratori | 46% | 21% | 22% | 10% | -12.1 | +0.7 | +12.2 | -0.8 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 36% | 24% | 31% | 10% | +5.2 | -4.2 | -0.1 | -0.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 8,000 | 41% | 18% | 32% | 9% | +29.5 | -6.9 | -19.2 | -3.4 |
| East 4 | Satoshi Fujisaki tsumo 8,000 | 72% | 10% | 12% | 7% | -5.2 | -5.2 | +22.5 | -12.1 |
| South 1 | Satoshi Fujisaki ron 2,600 from Sho Shiratori | 65% | 8% | 24% | 3% | -6.8 | -2.3 | +9.9 | -0.8 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 58% | 6% | 34% | 2% | -3.3 | +2.7 | -1.7 | +2.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Akira Wakutsu ron 3,900 from Satoshi Fujisaki | 54% | 9% | 34% | 3% | +9.0 | -5.1 | -11.2 | +7.4 |
| South 3 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 12,000 | 73% | 3% | 20% | 4% | +24.4 | -4.6 | -14.4 | -5.4 |
| South 4 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 1,100 | 98% | 0% | 0% | 2% | +2.0 | +1.9 | +5.7 | -9.6 |