Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
10/17 Game 1
Saki Kurosawa finished 1st (+57.4pt). The game was decided in South 3, 2 honba: Saki Kurosawa tsumo 8,000, which moved Saki Kurosawa's expected points by +28.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 1,500 | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | +6.2 | -0.9 | -3.0 | -2.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 6,000 | 30% | 24% | 22% | 24% | +15.6 | -5.5 | -3.8 | -6.2 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 2,600 from Taro Suzuki | 42% | 20% | 19% | 19% | -0.7 | +8.0 | -10.3 | +3.0 |
| East 2 | Saki Kurosawa ron 5,200 from Go Kobayashi | 42% | 24% | 14% | 21% | +4.2 | -15.6 | -0.1 | +11.5 |
| East 3 | Saki Kurosawa ron 5,200 from Go Kobayashi | 45% | 14% | 14% | 28% | -0.4 | -12.9 | -2.3 | +15.6 |
| East 4 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 8,000 | 43% | 8% | 10% | 39% | -3.8 | +21.9 | -6.5 | -11.6 |
| South 1 | Go Kobayashi ron 3,900 from Hisato Sasaki | 41% | 18% | 10% | 31% | -15.9 | +14.3 | -1.3 | +2.8 |
| South 2 | Go Kobayashi ron 12,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 27% | 30% | 9% | 34% | -38.9 | +38.8 | +3.3 | -3.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 71% | 6% | 21% | -2.6 | -0.1 | +4.6 | -1.9 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 75% | 7% | 17% | -4.8 | -10.6 | -12.9 | +28.3 |
| South 4 | Hisato Sasaki ron 2,000 from Taro Suzuki | 0% | 52% | 0% | 48% | +15.3 | -20.1 | -15.3 | +20.1 |