Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
10/17 Game 1
Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+57.4pt). The game was decided in South 3, 2 honba: Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,000, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +28.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 1,500 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | +8.3 | -1.8 | -2.1 | -4.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 6,000 | 32% | 24% | 23% | 21% | +13.6 | -5.3 | -7.0 | -1.3 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 2,600 from Suzuki Taro | 40% | 20% | 19% | 21% | -1.0 | +7.9 | -5.8 | -1.0 |
| East 2 | Kurosawa Saki ron 5,200 from Kobayashi Go | 40% | 23% | 16% | 20% | +3.1 | -14.1 | -1.8 | +12.8 |
| East 3 | Kurosawa Saki ron 5,200 from Kobayashi Go | 43% | 14% | 14% | 28% | +1.2 | -14.3 | -3.6 | +16.6 |
| East 4 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 8,000 | 43% | 8% | 10% | 40% | -4.5 | +20.9 | -5.5 | -10.9 |
| South 1 | Kobayashi Go ron 3,900 from Sasaki Hisato | 41% | 18% | 9% | 32% | -16.5 | +16.1 | -1.1 | +1.4 |
| South 2 | Kobayashi Go ron 12,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 26% | 30% | 11% | 34% | -36.8 | +38.5 | +1.6 | -3.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 2% | 71% | 7% | 20% | -3.5 | -0.5 | +5.3 | -1.3 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 74% | 8% | 17% | -4.8 | -9.9 | -13.7 | +28.3 |
| South 4 | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,000 from Suzuki Taro | 0% | 53% | 0% | 47% | +15.3 | -20.5 | -15.0 | +20.2 |